The Stock Market Rally Isn't Just Big Tech Anymore. Why Investors Still Should Be Cautious.

Paul R. La Monica
November 27, 2024 at 12:00 AM UTC

In a recent report, SentimenTrader's senior analyst Dean Christians highlighted a notable improvement in market breadth, suggesting the current uptrend may persist based on similar historical momentum patterns.

In fact, the difference between the number of stocks on the New York Stock Exchange hitting new 52-week highs versus those notching new 52-week lows is now at its widest level since early 2021, Dean Christians, senior research analyst with SentimenTrader, noted in a recent report. In other words, more stocks are advancing than declining.

The recent surge in the spread between 52-week highs and lows on the NYSE…signals a notable improvement in market breadth, a hallmark of sustainable uptrends, Christians wrote in a report. Since stock indexes rarely peak when breadth broadens, the current uptrend will likely persist.

The last time the market showed similar momentum, the S&P 500 went on to rally by 14% over the next six months, Christians said. What's more, the blue chip index rallied nearly 90% of the time over the next 12 months by an average of almost 10%.

He was particularly encouraged by the performance of interest-rate-sensitive sectors and so-called bond proxies such as financials, real estate, and consumer staples. These have been among the market leaders during prior instances where more stocks have been hitting new highs.