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Why the average S&P 500 stock deserves a second look

In a recent report, SentimenTrader's chief research analyst Jason Goepfert highlighted a historical tendency for equal-weighted indices to outperform capitalization-weighted peers following periods of significant underperformance.
Joseph Adinolfi, Marketwatch
January 8, 2025 at 12:00 AM UTC

After a big jump, the VIX is always lower one month later: Sentimentrader

Recently, SentimenTrader's senior analyst Jason Goepfert highlighted in his tweet that volatility tends to subside following sharp spikes, with historical analysis showing the VIX usually declines within a month after a 50% single-session jump.
Joseph Adinolfi, Marketwatch
December 19, 2024 at 12:00 AM UTC

The Fed Crushed the Stock Market. Where to Find the Best Value Now.

In a recent report, SentimenTrader's senior analyst Jason Goepfert noted that value stocks are near their lowest levels versus growth in over two decades, with historical trends suggesting potential outperformance of value stocks in the coming years.
Jacob Sonenshine, Marketwatch
December 20, 2024 at 12:00 AM UTC

Investors haven't been this optimistic in decades. Why that could spell trouble in 2025.

In a recent report, SentimenTrader's senior analyst Jason Goepfert warned that persistently bullish sentiment this year, among the strongest since 1987, could signal poor stock returns in 2025, with past similar conditions often preceding market weakness.
Joy Wiltermuth, MarketWatch
December 17, 2024 at 12:00 AM UTC

This hasn't happened to U.S. stocks in more than 20 years — here's why investors should be concerned

SentimenTrader's senior analyst Jason Goepfert highlighted in his tweet that when breadth is this dismal, stocks are typically far below record levels, with fewer than 20 similar occurrences in the past 70 years.
Joseph Adinolfi, MarketWatch
December 14, 2024 at 12:00 AM UTC

This move by the stock market's ‘fear gauge' is historically bullish for the S&P 500

SentimenTrader's senior analyst Dean Christians noted that VIX patterns and last-hour trading trends point to a positive medium- and long-term stock outlook, despite potential short-term market fluctuations.
William Watts, MarketWatch
December 2, 2024 at 12:00 AM UTC

The Stock Market Rally Isn't Just Big Tech Anymore. Why Investors Still Should Be Cautious.

In a recent report, SentimenTrader's senior analyst Dean Christians highlighted a notable improvement in market breadth, suggesting the current uptrend may persist based on similar historical momentum patterns.
Paul R. La Monica
November 27, 2024 at 12:00 AM UTC

Post-election VIX plunge suggests strong S&P 500 rally

SentimenTrader senior analyst Dean Christians noted that the sharp drop in market volatility following the U.S. presidential election may signal a rally in the S&P 500. Data shows a nearly 90% probability of S&P 500 gains over the next three to six months
Chibuike Oguh
November 7, 2024 at 12:00 AM UTC

Small-cap stocks are ripping higher after Trump's win. What history tells us might happen next

SentimenTrader's senior analyst Jay Kaeppel noted that small caps often lead post-election, suggesting a shift from large- to small-cap allocations in 2024-25, while cautioning no guarantees this period.
Joy Wiltermuth
November 6, 2024 at 12:00 AM UTC