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Gold Keeps Hitting Record Highs. It May Be Time for Caution.

In a recent newsletter, SentimenTrader's senior analyst Jay Kaeppel highlighted favorable trend-following signs for gold but cautioned about the potential for gold to go "parabolic," reminiscent of its behavior in the late 1970s and early 1980s.
Paul R. La Monica
October 30, 2024 at 12:00 AM UTC

S&P 500 Bull Case Rides a 245-Day Technical Streak: Taking Stock

In a recent report, SentimenTrader's senior analyst Dean Christians noted that, while election-related consolidation is possible, the outlook for the seasonally strong period suggests investors still give the market the benefit of the doubt.
Esha Dey, Bloomberg
October 24, 2024 at 12:00 AM UTC

These 6 charts suggest investors should proceed with caution as S&P 500 hits 47th record high of 2024

In a recent report, SentimenTrader's Jason Goepfert noted a significant drop in insider buying, reaching levels last seen in September 2021, signaling elevated sentiment and potential market complacency based on historical insider activity trends.
Joseph Adinolfi, MarketWatch
October 19, 2024 at 12:00 AM UTC

INVESTOR SENTIMENT FOR STOCKS IS OUTPACING BONDS

In a recent report, SentimenTrader's senior analyst Jason Goepfert highlighted that while stock sentiment is outpacing bonds, this does not signal a clear S&P 500 trend. However, Treasury bonds often rally three to six months after stock sentiment leads.
Chibuike Oguh, Reuters
October 16, 2024 at 12:00 AM UTC

Froth Is Back in the Stock Market. BofA Calls It a Sell Signal

In a recent report, SentimenTrader's senior analyst Jason Goepfert noted that while the VIX remains elevated, signaling market anxiety, bond market calm suggests this fear may be excessive, supporting a cautiously optimistic medium to long-term outlook.
Michael Msika and Lynn Thomasson, Bloomberg
October 15, 2024 at 12:00 AM UTC

Stocks Are Up Lately. It's About Much More Than Trump's Odds Versus Harris.

In a recent report, SentimenTrader's senior analyst Dean Christians highlighted bullish momentum in cyclical stocks, noting over 15% of consumer discretionary, financial, and industrial stocks hit 52-week highs, signaling investor confidence in indexes.
Paul R. La Monica, Barron’s
October 15, 2024 at 12:00 AM UTC

UH-OH - AS THE MARKET STEAMS ALONG, IS THAT AN ICEBERG AHEAD?

In a recent MarketWatch article, SentimenTrader's Jay Kaeppel discussed the "Titanic Syndrome" indicator, suggesting potential market volatility ahead. He urged investors to review risk management plans, noting past signals often preceded market declines
Terence Gabriel, Reuters
October 9, 2024 at 12:00 AM UTC

The Dow is running hot. History says that's usually a good sign.

In a recent report, SentimenTrader's senior analyst Jason Goepfert noted that the Dow's momentum is historically extreme, ranking in the top 6% since 1900. Similar patterns previously preceded periods of mixed returns, except for the 1995-2000 bubble.
William Watts, MarketWatch
October 9, 2024 at 12:00 AM UTC

Red-Hot Utilities Rally Hits a Technical Crossroad: Taking Stock

In a recent report, SentimenTrader's Dean Christians noted the utilities sector's extreme overbought condition, historically marking the end of favorable periods, while broader S&P 500 performance remained strong, indicating a bullish market trend.
Alexandra Semenova, Bloomberg
October 7, 2024 at 12:00 AM UTC