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Why Investors Should Get Ready for Volatility, Moderating Returns—or Both

In a recent report, SentimenTrader's Jason Goepfert warned that the S&P 500's Sharpe ratio has peaked, signaling a potential shift in market conditions. Historically, such peaks led to moderate returns and a more two-way market, suggesting less favorable
Karishma Vanjani, Barron’s
February 5, 2025 at 12:00 AM UTC

CNBC Daily Open: Gold prices might be a warning to bull market

Sundial Capital Research founder Jason Goepfert highlighted the S&P 500's rapid recovery, noting it surged from a two-month low to a record high in just eight sessions, marking a strong upside momentum and setting both a fresh closing and intraday peak.
Yeo Boon Ping,CNBC
January 27, 2025 at 12:00 AM UTC

The S&P 500 Just Matched a Record ‘Good Breadth' Streak. What It Means for Returns Ahead.

In a recent report, SentimenTrader's founder Jason Goepfert highlighted a rare market breadth streak, with over 68% of S&P 500 stocks advancing for five consecutive days. Historical data suggests this pattern often leads to further gains, though exception
Karishma Vanjani, Barron's
January 21, 2025 at 12:00 AM UTC

Why the average S&P 500 stock deserves a second look

In a recent report, SentimenTrader's chief research analyst Jason Goepfert highlighted a historical tendency for equal-weighted indices to outperform capitalization-weighted peers following periods of significant underperformance.
Joseph Adinolfi, Marketwatch
January 8, 2025 at 12:00 AM UTC

After a big jump, the VIX is always lower one month later: Sentimentrader

Recently, SentimenTrader's senior analyst Jason Goepfert highlighted in his tweet that volatility tends to subside following sharp spikes, with historical analysis showing the VIX usually declines within a month after a 50% single-session jump.
Joseph Adinolfi, Marketwatch
December 19, 2024 at 12:00 AM UTC

The Fed Crushed the Stock Market. Where to Find the Best Value Now.

In a recent report, SentimenTrader's senior analyst Jason Goepfert noted that value stocks are near their lowest levels versus growth in over two decades, with historical trends suggesting potential outperformance of value stocks in the coming years.
Jacob Sonenshine, Marketwatch
December 20, 2024 at 12:00 AM UTC

Investors haven't been this optimistic in decades. Why that could spell trouble in 2025.

In a recent report, SentimenTrader's senior analyst Jason Goepfert warned that persistently bullish sentiment this year, among the strongest since 1987, could signal poor stock returns in 2025, with past similar conditions often preceding market weakness.
Joy Wiltermuth, MarketWatch
December 17, 2024 at 12:00 AM UTC

This hasn't happened to U.S. stocks in more than 20 years — here's why investors should be concerned

SentimenTrader's senior analyst Jason Goepfert highlighted in his tweet that when breadth is this dismal, stocks are typically far below record levels, with fewer than 20 similar occurrences in the past 70 years.
Joseph Adinolfi, MarketWatch
December 14, 2024 at 12:00 AM UTC

This move by the stock market's ‘fear gauge' is historically bullish for the S&P 500

SentimenTrader's senior analyst Dean Christians noted that VIX patterns and last-hour trading trends point to a positive medium- and long-term stock outlook, despite potential short-term market fluctuations.
William Watts, MarketWatch
December 2, 2024 at 12:00 AM UTC