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ModelEdge report
S&P 500 new high along with two sectors

S&P 500 new high along with two sectors

The S&P 500 recently reached a record high alongside only two sectors: Industrials and Financials. Historically, this exact two-sector breadth signal is highly bullish, averaging over 11% returns one year later.
2026-08-05 at 10:00:00 PDT
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Kaeppel's Corner
A positive signal for the economy (that most investors are unaware of)

A positive signal for the economy (that most investors are unaware of)

Debt, deficits, war, and energy prices are all meaningful factors impacting the stock market and the economy. Nevertheless, one measure of economic strength and its impact on the stock market just flashed an unabashedly favorable signal. Details herein.
2026-08-04 at 10:30:00 PDT
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SentimentEdge report
A Rapid V-Shaped Reversal Near the Highs

A Rapid V-Shaped Reversal Near the Highs

A rare four-day reversal took the S&P 500 from a 21-day closing low to a 21-day closing high. Similar signals had uneven standalone results, but those occurring within 2% of a 52-week high were followed by stronger medium-term returns and substantially shallower average drawdowns.
2026-08-04 at 10:00:00 PDT
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Kaeppel's Corner
Indicator signals you were probably not aware of (and how to use them)

Indicator signals you were probably not aware of (and how to use them)

Unfortunately, many traders and investors view every given indicator signal as a "Buy" or "Sell" signal. But the reality is that most indicator signals do not serve that purpose. Most often, they serve merely as weight of the evidence, and nothing more. Luckily, this can be extremely valuable in keeping individuals on the right side of the market. Three examples herein.
2026-08-03 at 10:30:00 PDT
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ModelEdge report
Bollinger Band Buy Signal Concept

Bollinger Band Buy Signal Concept

July 2026 marked SPY's worst July performance in a decade, closing with a microscopic 0.03% gain. While a systematic Bollinger Band squeeze setup identifies robust medium-term upside, short-term data warns of near-term turbulence
2026-08-03 at 10:00:00 PDT
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Weekend Reading
TradingEdge Weekly for Jul 31 - Unleaded Gas bearish setup, Utility-tech divergence, COT positioning extremes, Seasonal sell zones, Treasury yield spike, KOSPI selloff, Hedge fund rebound

TradingEdge Weekly for Jul 31 - Unleaded Gas bearish setup, Utility-tech divergence, COT positioning extremes, Seasonal sell zones, Treasury yield spike, KOSPI selloff, Hedge fund rebound

As the 10-year Treasury hits a 1-year high and utility stocks massively outperform tech, equities face a volatile crossroads. Despite near-term geopolitical headwinds, rare breadth signals point to robust long-term gains.
2026-07-31 at 15:00:00 PDT
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Kaeppel's Corner
Korean stock market: Crater Yes, Capitulation No

Korean stock market: Crater Yes, Capitulation No

The Korean Stock Index (KOSPI) has plunged almost 40% in just over a month. Many traders are wondering if the worst is over and if a buying opportunity is at hand. Herein, we detail the latest action of three "panic" indicators to assess whether or not we have seen true capitulation.
2026-07-30 at 10:30:00 PDT
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SentimentEdge report
Hedge fund exposure rebounds

Hedge fund exposure rebounds

Hedge Fund Exposure has staged a rapid zero-line reversal from extreme 84-day lows, triggering a constructive short-term signal for the S&P 500. However, historical threshold statistics show the market performs best while exposure remains low, suggesting this move reflects easing defensive positioning rather than a structural bullish shift.
2026-07-30 at 10:00:00 PDT
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ModelEdge report
The 10-year Treasury yield reached a new 1-year high

The 10-year Treasury yield reached a new 1-year high

The 10-year Treasury yield hit a one-year high, reaching the 75th percentile of its 3-year range. Over the last decade, this rare technical signal has historically triggered short-term equity pain followed by robust long-term gains.
2026-07-29 at 10:00:00 PDT
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