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VIX is at a six-month low even as SKEW surges and component correlation falls. Historical signals suggest low-volatility regimes often retain short-term inertia, with modest first-month drawdowns, though extreme cases warn that instability can arrive after a temporary buffer.

The Coper/Gold Ratio recently dropped below a meaningful level. Previous results for stocks, bonds, and commodities make a compelling argument that traders start looking for specific trading opportunities in a variety of markets. Details herein.

With the S&P 500 historically dropping in August and September, midterm election years amplify the risk with average drawdowns of 17.8%. As Treasury yields remain high and Fed rate hike fears loom, prepare for potential Q3 volatility.

The VIX Index has demonstrated an historical tendency to rise from August into October, but year-to-year results vary widely. Will VIX "spike" this time around? One simple measure suggests that investors and traders should at least be prepared for the possibility. Details herein.

Historical matches to gold's latest 21-day pattern showed weak returns over the next one to two months, with results improving after three months. GDX's 98% one-year correlation with gold and above-1 beta make it a higher-risk expression of the same trend.

A roughly 7-year cycle has done a good job of identifying periods when the stock market is likely to rise - or struggle. Details herein.

The July 2026 nonfarm payroll report missed expectations by over 100k jobs. The strong "risk-on" sentiment driven by rate cut expectations suggests equities will see a near-term upward trend.

Despite short-term August headwinds and Bollinger Band squeeze volatility, a rare convergence of bullish signals—including a JK Economic Barometer spike and extreme insider holding—points to an exceptionally strong 12-month outlook.

Knowing where not to allocate capital can help investors concentrate on areas that are more likely to generate positive returns. In this note, we highlight three areas that are facing low odds of outperformance in the months ahead.