Froth Is Back in the Stock Market. BofA Calls It a Sell Signal

Michael Msika and Lynn Thomasson, Bloomberg
October 15, 2024 at 12:00 AM UTC

In a recent report, SentimenTrader's senior analyst Jason Goepfert noted that while the VIX remains elevated, signaling market anxiety, bond market calm suggests this fear may be excessive, supporting a cautiously optimistic medium to long-term outlook.

It's unusual for the index to be that high at a time when stocks are notching fresh highs, notes Sundial Capital Research. There are a few ways to view the dynamic:

Bonds markets are also chill. While debt traders have a reputation for being more cautious than their quick-fire equity brethren, indexes of credit spreads have been falling. That's "not something typically seen before economic trouble," writes Jason Goepfert, founder and senior analyst at Sundial.