SentimentEdge report

Jason Goepfert

9-22-2022 at 9:30 am

Treasury yield curves show recession ahead

More than half of Treasury yield curves are now inverted, and the median curve is negative. Every time that's happened, recession was soon to follow. Our Macro Index Model is confirming that outlook. Under similar conditions, stock returns tended to be weak up to a few months later, but not necessarily after that.

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