The Probability of a Bear Market is Rising

The Bear Market Probability model has cycled from below 40% to above 65% in only 11 months, the fastest turnaround ever. It's not high enough to be a pressing concern though future returns decline the higher the model climbs.

This post is available to SentimenTrader members only.

Log into your account

To view this blog post, you'll need to log into your SentimenTrader account.

Login to your account

Don't have an account?

Sign up to get RISK-FREE access to all of our indicators, models, commentary and award-winning research.

If you've never tried the service before, there is no charge for the first 30 days. Then pay as little as $1.59 per trading day for access to our award-winning research.

Not ready to signup up for a free trial yet?

Signup for our Daily Lite email to receive highlights of our daily report, research and studies.

Follow us on Twitter:

Subscribe to our Youtube Channel:

RSS Feed

Subscribe to the Blog RSS feed

Tags

Recent Blog Posts

As mentioned in...

Brought to you by:

Sundial Capital Research Logo
>



About us

Sundial Capital Research is an independent investment research firm dedicated to the application of mass psychology to the financial markets. Sundial publishes the SentimenTrader.com website.

Our focus is not market timing per se, but rather risk management. That may be a distinction without a difference, but it's how we approach the markets. We study signs that suggest it is time to raise or lower market exposure as a function of risk relative to probable reward. It is all about risk-adjusted expectations given existing evidence.

Contact Information

Sundial Capital Research
12527 Central Avenue NE, Suite 165
Blaine, MN 55434
Email: admin@sentimentrader.com
Twitter: @SentimenTrader
© 2001 - , Sundial Capital Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Privacy Policy | Disclaimer| Affiliates| Status Page | Beginner's Guide