The Nasdaq's momentum bubble is getting pricked

Jason Goepfert
2020-09-10

Last week, we looked at other times the Nasdaq Composite formed major peaks. The index tended to go pretty much straight up into the peak then straight down afterward. There wasn't a lot of back-and-forth choppiness.

That's a bit of concern now because that's exactly what the index is doing, and it has set a new 10-day low which ended a couple of its other massive runs.

It has also finally dropped below its 50-day moving average for the first time in more than 90 days, ending one of the longer streaks since its 1971 inception.

Nasdaq streaks above 50 day moving average

The ends of other long streaks tended to lead to more short-term downside follow-through.

Nasdaq falls below 50 day average

There are other signs of waning momentum, like falling into correction territory in the fastest amount of time in history, and poor underlying breadth among stocks traded on that index.


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We also looked at:

  • What has happened after the fastest pullbacks of 10% in the Nasdaq's hitory
  • The Nasdaq's McClellan Oscillator and Summation Index are negative for the first time in months
  • What happens when the VXN "fear gauge" of implied volatility falls along with the Nasdaq 100
  • ETF traders pulled more than $2 billion from QQQ
  • Fear & Greed is falling back after one of the most extended runs in 20 years
  • Pessimism on the dollar is extreme, but that doesn't always mean a reversal
  • Oil has formed a Golden Cross