The most important index in the world set a new high...along with only 1 sector

Jason Goepfert
2020-08-20

The S&P 500 finally did what it's been trying to do for days now, and crept to a new high.

This ended its shortest bear market in history. Using the completely arbitrary definition of a 20% decline from a multi-year high, it has taken the index only 110 days to cycle to a fresh high. That's several months faster than the other fastest recoveries in 1967 and 1982.

This is its first new all-time high in months, but the S&P's sectors are struggling somewhat to keep up. Only one of them, Consumer Discretionary, managed to close at an all-time high on Tuesday. 

S&P 500 new high with only 1 sector

When the S&P reaches its first new high in months with only 1 or 2 sectors following suit, its future returns were mediocre with only one exception (1995).

We've seen a lot of these oddities over the last few weeks, and yet here we are talking about new all-time highs in the major indexes. Clearly, "odd" hasn't mattered so far.


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We also looked at:

  • Returns when the S&P 500 ends the shortest bear markets in history
  • What happened after the S&P hit a new high along with only 1 sector
  • Despite a push to new highs on Tuesday, few Nasdaq stocks went along for the ride
  • Most industries, sectors, and countries are still not in solid uptrends
  • Volume has plunged as traders head for summer vacation