Data &
Technology
Research
Reports
Report Solutions
Reports Library
Actionable
Strategies
Free
Resources
Simple Backtest Calculator
Simple Seasonality Calculator
The Kelly Criterion Calculator
Sentiment Geo Map
Public Research Reports
Free Webinar
Pricing
Company
About
Meet Our Team
In the News
Testimonials
Client Success Stories
Contact
Log inLoginSign up
< BACK TO ALL REPORTS

The "easiest" year ever to make money

Jason Goepfert
2020-12-17
The year 2020 has set a record for the year with the fewest losing streaks, with only 32 days suffering back-to-back losses.

Despite the pandemic, recession, and record unemployment, the year 2020 has been the most consistently positive year in history.

Strategist Callie Cox noted that this year has seen only 32 days that were mired in a losing streak, defined as back-to-back losing sessions. On a rolling one-year basis, this is the lowest in history.

If we look at this on a calendar-year basis, then we're currently on trading day #242 of the year. No other year has had so few losing streaks this far into the calendar since 1928.

s&p 500 losing streaks

The S&P's next-year return was much higher after years with the most losing streaks than it was after years when there were few of them. That makes sense, as stocks meander from one extreme to the other.


What else is happening

These are topics we explored in our most recent research. For immediate access with no obligation, sign up for a 30-day free trial now.

  • What happens going forward after other years with few losing streaks since 1928
  • And also after years with the most losing streaks
  • Even on a rolling one-year basis, we're seeing a record amount of positive consistency

Stat Box

On Wednesday, stocks ticked to record highs and closed positive, but 83 more stocks within the S&P 500 declined than advanced. 

Sentiment from other perspectives

We don't necessarily agree with everything posted here - some of our work might directly contradict it - but it's often worth knowing what others are watching.

1. Amid all the signs of optimism, one is missing - the smartest money of them all, corporate insiders. The ratio of insider buys to sells is around the lowest levels of the year. [Bloomberg]

corporate insider buying

2. Individual investors ask, "Why be bearish when stocks only go up?" The percentage of them saying that they expect prices to fall continues to decline. [AAII via Helene Meisler]

aaii bears

3. Despite what looks like manic trading, social media sentiment on bitcoin hasn't reached the heights that it has at other points during the year. [Augmento]

augmento bitcoin sentiment

DATA &
TECHnologies
IndicatorEdge
‍
BackTestEdge
‍
Other Tools
‍
DataEdge API
RESEARCH
reports
Research Solution
‍
Reports Library
‍
actionable
Strategies
Trading Strategies
‍
Smart Stock Scanner
‍
FREE
RESOUrCES
Simple Backtest
Calculator
Simple Seasonality
Calculator
The Kelly Criterion
Calculator
Sentiment Geo Map
‍
Public Research Reports
‍
Free Webinar
COMPANY
‍
About
‍
Meet our Team
‍
In the News
‍
Testimonials
‍
Client Success Stories
Pricing
Bundle pricing
‍
Announcements
‍
FAQ
© 2024 Sundial Capital Research Inc. All rights reserved.
Setsail Marketing
TermsPrivacyAffiliate Program
Risk Disclosure: Futures and forex trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing ones’ financial security or life style. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Hypothetical Performance Disclosure: Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown; in fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk of actual trading. for example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all which can adversely affect trading results.

Testimonial Disclosure: Testimonials appearing on this website may not be representative of other clients or customers and is not a guarantee of future performance or success.