Data &
Technology
Research
Reports
Report Solutions
Reports Library
Actionable
Strategies
Free
Resources
Simple Backtest Calculator
Simple Seasonality Calculator
The Kelly Criterion Calculator
Sentiment Geo Map
Public Research Reports
Free Webinar
Pricing
Company
About
Meet Our Team
In the News
Testimonials
Client Success Stories
Contact
Log inLoginSign up
< BACK TO ALL REPORTS

Tepid Fund Flows With Record Exodus From Financials

Jason Goepfert
2019-03-06
null

Tepid equity flow

The S&P 500 has jumped more than 12% over the past two months, yet inflows to equity funds continue to be tepid.

This is one of the few times that stocks have performed so well over a two-month span, with negative equity flows during the rally. Future returns in the S&P were impressive after other times this happened, better than random on every time frame, and significantly so over the next two months. But the numbers don’t really tell the whole story.

February ETF flow

Last month, commodity funds mostly saw outflows, and bonds saw inflows, continuing the recent pattern. In equities, financials saw yet another monthly outflow, the 11th in a row.

Real estate funds added more than 4% in assets, one of their best flows ever.

Bull

Nearly 70% of stocks in the Shanghai Composite are now above their 200-day averages, the most in over two years. When the index went from fewer than 20% to at least 70% above the 200-day, the Shanghai showed a negative return over the next 1 or 2 months all six times this happened in the past 17 years.

Slipping

The S&P 500 finally closed below its 10-day moving average, the first time in 40 days, ending its 9th-longest streak ever. The ends of other streaks led to okay returns in the short-term, but three months later it averaged a return of -1.8%.

No shine

Gold futures closed lower for the 7th straight day. Since ’75, that’s happened 5 times when above the 200-day average. Gold rallied over the next month 5 of the 6 times.

This post was an abridged version of our previous day's Daily Report. For full access, sign up for a 30-day free trial now.

DATA &
TECHnologies
IndicatorEdge
‍
BackTestEdge
‍
Other Tools
‍
DataEdge API
RESEARCH
reports
Research Solution
‍
Reports Library
‍
actionable
Strategies
Trading Strategies
‍
Smart Stock Scanner
‍
FREE
RESOUrCES
Simple Backtest
Calculator
Simple Seasonality
Calculator
The Kelly Criterion
Calculator
Sentiment Geo Map
‍
Public Research Reports
‍
Free Webinar
COMPANY
‍
About
‍
Meet our Team
‍
In the News
‍
Testimonials
‍
Client Success Stories
Pricing
Bundle pricing
‍
Announcements
‍
FAQ
© 2024 Sundial Capital Research Inc. All rights reserved.
Setsail Marketing
TermsPrivacyAffiliate Program
Risk Disclosure: Futures and forex trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing ones’ financial security or life style. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Hypothetical Performance Disclosure: Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown; in fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk of actual trading. for example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all which can adversely affect trading results.

Testimonial Disclosure: Testimonials appearing on this website may not be representative of other clients or customers and is not a guarantee of future performance or success.