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TCTM Risk Warning Model Sentiment Signal

Dean Christians
2021-04-28

With an update to one of the components in the sentiment composite model, the 5th warning signal since the pandemic low in March 2020 triggered this week. So far, the warnings have led to small consolidations. Strong market breadth, which is a function of liquidity, continues to overshadow the optimistic sentiment conditions.

For a more detailed description of the sentiment composite model, please see my note from 4/19/21.

MAX DRAWDOWN IN FIRST 2 MONTHS FOR SIGNALS SINCE THE PANDEMIC LOW

CURRENT CHART

HISTORICAL SIGNAL PERFORMANCE

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