Stocks, Gold And Bond Yields All Rally On Rate Hike

Jason Goepfert
2015-12-16
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There is still time before the close, but so far on the day we're seeing stocks and gold rally, while bonds sell off.

The S&P 500, gold and 10-year Treasury note yield are all up by more than 0.5% on the day. The knee-jerk assumption from that would be that traders are pricing in higher inflation.

This is occurring on a day the FOMC raised its Federal Funds target rate. If we go back to 1971 and look for every time all three rallied at least 0.5% on a day the Fed hiked rates, we get the following future performance:

20151216_fomc_rally

Basically, negative for stocks, negative for bonds (yields rose) and negative for gold. Only a sample size of two, so this is FWIW.

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