Short term optimism records being shattered
Our SPY short term optimism index's 3 week average is at one of the highest readings in years:
As is the case with most sentiment extremes, similar extreme readings usually led to a short term pullback followed by more gains over the next 6-12 months:
Similarly, IWM Optix is at the highest level ever.
The 2nd highest reading was in October 2011, when IWM (Russell 20000 ETF) fell -12.8% over the next month:
Instead of just looking at single day readings for Optix, IWM Optix's 15 day average is also at a multi-year high. Similar readings led to a small short term pullback followed by more gains over the next 6-12 months: