This is an abridged version of our Daily Report.
As rates rise, fund managers shrug
Mutual fund managers continue to hold a near-record low level of cash relative to other assets. A surge in short-term interest rates has not tempted them to hold more of a cash cushion. They are now holding 2.5% less cash than they “should” be, which has led to high long-term risk.
Risk appetite crashes
Sudden volatility across asset classes triggered a huge one-day drop in risk appetite among investors. That was large enough to move it into extreme territory.
Big drops, and to this kind of extreme, have led to good medium-term returns in stocks.
A day after NYSE Up Volume rose above 87%, its largest in nearly two years, it fell below 30% on Thursday. When the S&P 500 was above its 200-day average, a reading above 85% followed by one below 30% led to a rebound the next day only 44% of the time. But by three days later, the S&P was higher 81% of the time (13 out of 16 times).
A day after the small-cap Russell 2000 index surged more than 1% to a new high, it pulled back but not enough to erase yesterday’s gains.
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The post titled Mutual Fund Cash Sinks Along With Risk Appetite was originally published as on SentimenTrader.com on 2018-06-01.
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