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Materials, Info Tech New High Surge

Jason Goepfert
2017-01-26
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Among the major S&P 500 sectors, the two biggest winners so far year-to-date have been materials and information technology. Both have gained upwards of 5% already in 2017.

The push to multi-year highs in those sectors have been accompanied by a surge in their component stocks trading at 4-week, 12-week and 52-week highs. In both sectors, the surge in buying pressure have pushed nearly two-thirds of their component stocks to fresh 4-week highs, half to 12-week highs and a third to 52-week highs.

The tables below show the future performance in both the materials and info tech sectors after similar pushes to short-, medium-, and long-term new highs among the stocks that make up the indexes.

For the most part, returns were muted, especially in the shorter-term but in the case of materials, the next six months tended to be a tough slog. For info tech, the best returns were during the final blow-off in 1999-2000, and again in 2003 as the sector saw an initial thrust from the bear market low.

20170126_materials

20170126_tech

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Risk Disclosure: Futures and forex trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing ones’ financial security or life style. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Hypothetical Performance Disclosure: Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown; in fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk of actual trading. for example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all which can adversely affect trading results.

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