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Low volume

Troy Bombardia
2020-08-20
Summer doldrums have caused the U.S. stock market's volume to drop.

Summer doldrums have caused the U.S. stock market's volume to drop. Standard technical analysis teaches us that rallies that occur on low volume are bearish because there's a lack of confirmation. Data and facts suggest that this is not always the case:

SPY volume's 5 day average is now more than -58% below its 200 day average. When this happened in the past, it wasn't a clear bearish sign for the U.S. stock market on any time frame. There were a few notable bearish examples (e.g. July 2000 and December 2008), but outside of that this was not a consistently bearish factor for the U.S. stock market.

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