Data &
Technology
Research
Reports
Report Solutions
Reports Library
Actionable
Strategies
Free
Resources
Simple Backtest Calculator
Simple Seasonality Calculator
The Kelly Criterion Calculator
Sentiment Geo Map
Public Research Reports
Free Webinar
Pricing
Company
About
Meet Our Team
In the News
Testimonials
Client Success Stories
Contact
Log inLoginSign up
< BACK TO ALL REPORTS

IPO mania continues, with a caveat

Jason Goepfert
2021-03-25
There has been a record amount of initial public offerings, almost solely due to the rise of SPACs. As a percentage of total U.S. market capitalization, we've now passed the peaks in 2000 and 2007, but remain below the higher levels in the 1980s and 1990s.

One of the most visible and discussed aspects of the current welcoming environment for investors is the plethora of new offerings. Whatever form they take, whether blank-check companies or traditional investment bank-led, we've never seen the market absorb so much in new shares.

According to Bloomberg data, there has now been $114 billion in U.S. initial public offerings that were priced over the past 12 weeks.

The parabolic nature of the chart looks just as egregious over a 6-month time frame.

And over the past year with $256 billion in offerings compared to a previous high of $92 billion in 2007 and $84 billion in 2000.

As we've discussed before, though, those are all distorted due to the larger size of the market for stocks. When we account for that, the current extreme shows quite a bit of shrinkage. At 0.26% of the entire market capitalization of U.S. stocks, this is the most in more than 25 years, but below the peak in the early 1990s.

It becomes a little more clear when using a 6-month time frame, but with the same general conclusion.

Over the past year, the current surge just eclipsed the extremes from 1987 and 2007 but still remains well below the early 1990s.

There are more salient worries about these offerings, like the average age of a company going public (again, thanks to SPACs) the pop that they've enjoyed when hitting the market, and how many of them are losing money. The sheer number and size of new issues is certainly extreme, but it took quite a while before that mattered to the market in the mid-80s and early 90s.

Sorry, you don't have access to this report

Upgrade your subscription plan to get access
Go to Dasboard
DATA &
TECHnologies
IndicatorEdge
‍
BackTestEdge
‍
Other Tools
‍
DataEdge API
RESEARCH
reports
Research Solution
‍
Reports Library
‍
actionable
Strategies
Trading Strategies
‍
Smart Stock Scanner
‍
FREE
RESOUrCES
Simple Backtest
Calculator
Simple Seasonality
Calculator
The Kelly Criterion
Calculator
Sentiment Geo Map
‍
Public Research Reports
‍
Free Webinar
COMPANY
‍
About
‍
Meet our Team
‍
In the News
‍
Testimonials
‍
Client Success Stories
Pricing
Bundle pricing
‍
Announcements
‍
FAQ
© 2024 Sundial Capital Research Inc. All rights reserved.
Setsail Marketing
TermsPrivacyAffiliate Program
Risk Disclosure: Futures and forex trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing ones’ financial security or life style. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Hypothetical Performance Disclosure: Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown; in fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk of actual trading. for example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all which can adversely affect trading results.

Testimonial Disclosure: Testimonials appearing on this website may not be representative of other clients or customers and is not a guarantee of future performance or success.