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Bottom line

Jason Goepfert
2020-10-08
  • A positive environment favors becoming aggressive on signs of excessive pessimism.
  • Market environment (More info)
    PositivesNegatives
    1. Price pattern (barely)1. % of Stocks in Correction
    2. Moving averages
    3. McClellan Summation

    4. % Stocks > 200-Day
    5. Net New Highs / Lows
  • Sentiment / Breadth / Other
    PositivesNegatives
    1. Confidence rising1. Too much options speculation
    2. Big up volume2. Equities high vs GDP, Assets
    3. Surging small-caps
    4. Mar-May thrusts, recoveries
    5. Hedgers net long
    6. Easing internal momentum
    7. Excess liquidity is high
  • Other Sectors and Assets
    PositivesNegatives
    1. Energy (here and here)1. Skewed tech (here and here)

    		2. Dollar test
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