SentimenTrader Blog


2020-08-03 | Jason Goepfert | Lite

July was one of the worst months ever for the U.S. dollar, falling several percent while hitting a multi-year low.

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2020-08-01 | Troy Bombardia | Premium

With the release of many tech earnings report recently, some big tech companies that beat estimates have pushed the whole NASDAQ Composite up. But the participation of NASDAQ's members in the rally has been extremely low.

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2020-08-01 | Troy Bombardia | Premium



2020-07-31 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

The latest survey of individual investors by AAII showed a continued pattern of historically low optimism. The survey is skewed by an older population, perhaps not as taken by the rally in technology shares. Whatever the reason, it's a historic level of pessimism after such a massive rally in stocks.; The dollar's on track for its largest monthly loss in a decade, hitting a multi-year low in the process. While many assets tend to show mean-reversion after large monthly moves, the dollar has not, but curiously it didn't often benefit gold, either.

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2020-07-31 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

The latest survey of individual investors by AAII showed a continued pattern of historically low optimism. The survey is skewed by an older population, perhaps not as taken by the rally in technology shares. Whatever the reason, it's a historic level of pessimism after such a massive rally in stocks.

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2020-07-31 | Jason Goepfert | Premium

The price of gold is driven in part by its competition from other investments. The more those other investments yield, the more competition the metal has, and more it tends to struggle. Recently, gold has taken off, even more than real interest rates would imply, suggesting "something" is driving gold higher.

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2020-07-31 | Jason Goepfert | Lite

So far this year, the Nasdaq has enjoyed a gain on more than 62% of its sessions. This ranks among the most consistently positive years in its history.

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2020-07-31 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

The dollar's on track for its largest monthly loss in a decade, hitting a multi-year low in the process. While many assets tend to show mean-reversion after large monthly moves, the dollar has not, but curiously it didn't often benefit gold, either.

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2020-07-31 | Troy Bombardia | Premium



2020-07-30 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

Over the past three months, investors have pulled record or near-record assets from domestic and overseas equity funds. At the same time, they've shoveled a record amount into bond funds.; The Nasdaq Composite has been positive on more than 62% of the sessions so far in 2020. That ranks among the most consistently positive years in its history. Forward returns after other largely positive years tended to flatten out when looking over the next few months.

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