SentimenTrader Blog


2020-10-29 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

Energy stocks have lost 60% more from their highs than did the broader market. That's the worst of any sector going back to 1928. Usually, a sector's relative losses have stopped at about 35%. Other times a sector's investors suffered that much relative to the S&P 500, it outperformed over the next 1-3 years.

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2020-10-29 | Jason Goepfert | Lite

The VIX has jumped more than 10% on 2 out of 3 days, as VIX options traders bet that it's going to decline in the months ahead.

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2020-10-29 | Troy Bombardia | Premium



2020-10-28 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

Options data shows that "smart money" traders are increasingly betting against a persistent rise in the VIX "fear gauge". When the VIX Sentiment model is as high as it is now, the VIX almost always declined in the months ahead.

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2020-10-28 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

Options data shows that "smart money" traders are increasingly betting against a persistent rise in the VIX "fear gauge". When the VIX Sentiment model is as high as it is now, the VIX almost always declined in the months ahead.

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2020-10-28 | Jason Goepfert | Lite

In September, investors borrowed more against their stock holdings, as margin debt rose despite losses in equities.

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2020-10-28 | Troy Bombardia | Premium

VIX is slowly rising as we approach the election in a week. VIX's Term Structure is now in backwardation, which is exactly what happened in the runup to the 2016 election.

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2020-10-27 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

Over the past 6 months, mergers and acquisitions among oil & gas companies have tailed off enough to reach a 17-year low. Relative to all M&A activity, it's declined to a 20-year low.; In September, investors borrowed more against their stock holdings, despite those holdings losing value. As a result, total margin debt increased to a near-record level, jumping more than 35% from the spring lows.

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2020-10-27 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

Over the past 6 months, mergers and acquisitions among oil & gas companies have tailed off enough to reach a 17-year low. Relative to all M&A activity, it's declined to a 20-year low.

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2020-10-27 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

In September, investors borrowed more against their stock holdings, despite those holdings losing value. As a result, total margin debt increased to a near-record level, jumping more than 35% from the spring lows.

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