SentimenTrader Blog


2020-11-24 | Jason Goepfert | Basic



2020-11-24 | Troy Bombardia | Public

Something truly rare is happening in financial markets right now. Both sentiment and breadth figures are at multi-year highs (if not multi-decade highs). When this happens, investors and traders split into 2 camps: those who think that stocks will crash (sentiment camp), and those who think that this is only the start of a great bull market (breadth & breakout camp).

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2020-11-23 | Jason Goepfert | Basic



2020-11-20 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

The amount of gold held by ETF traders has dropped more than 1.5% from the October peak, leading to fears they will leave the market and pressure gold prices lower. At the same time, more than 95% of gold mining stocks have moved into correction and more than 75% into a bear market.; The AIM Model of sentiment surveys is showing extreme optimism for the first time in more than 9 months. After a prolonged bout of "not optimism" we've usually seen buyers continue to push over the short-term, but with some soft spots over a medium-term time frame.

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2020-11-20 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

The amount of gold held by ETF traders has dropped more than 1.5% from the October peak, leading to fears they will leave the market and pressure gold prices lower. At the same time, more than 95% of gold mining stocks have moved into correction and more than 75% into a bear market.

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2020-11-20 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

The AIM Model of sentiment surveys is showing extreme optimism for the first time in more than 9 months. After a prolonged bout of "not optimism" we've usually seen buyers continue to push over the short-term, but with some soft spots over a medium-term time frame.

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2020-11-20 | Jason Goepfert | Lite

Fund managers have never been more confident that the Treasury yield curve will steepen.

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2020-11-19 | Troy Bombardia | Premium



2020-11-19 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

The S&P 500 is up around 10% through late November, which has tended to lead to further gains that build on momentum and seasonality. When the Nasdaq Composite gains 20% or more through this late in the year, it has also tended to keep following through.; Fund managers in a monthly Bank of America survey have turned highly optimistic on the prospect for stocks, but it has been a poor contrary indicator. Likewise, they're betting on small-caps and a steeper yield curve.

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2020-11-19 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

The S&P 500 is up around 10% through late November, which has tended to lead to further gains that build on momentum and seasonality. When the Nasdaq Composite gains 20% or more through this late in the year, it has also tended to keep following through.

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