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Thanks to a remarkable run in stocks, more indicators have registered extremes, with a near-record growth in margin debt, record assets in leveraged ETFs, and heavy speculative options activity, while insiders appear to be selling.
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An out-of-the-money calendar spread can offer a trader a low-cost alternative to committing alot of money to buying shares of stock. This piece covers the key factors to utilizing this strategy effectively.
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Thanks to a remarkable run in stocks, more indicators have registered extremes, with a near-record growth in margin debt, record assets in leveraged ETFs, and heavy speculative options activity, while insiders appear to be selling.
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Over time, there has been an edge in switching between consumer staples and consumer discretionary sectors based on the rate of inflation.
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Let's review a TCTM Risk Warning Model component that seeks to identify a risk-off environment resulting from bullish stock market sentiment.
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This week saw very little hedging activity among investors, with even Wall Street showing high optimism. But there have still not been many, if any, major warning signs triggering. Gold has started to recover, but historically those recoveries have been an inconsistent signal.
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This week saw very little hedging activity among investors, with even Wall Street showing high optimism. But there have still not been many, if any, major warning signs triggering. Gold has started to recover, but historically those recoveries have been an inconsistent signal.
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Let's review a TCTM Risk Warning Model component that seeks to identify weak market breadth as measured by new lows and the percentage of members above the 200-day average.
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The rate of inflation may be one of the most overlooked influences on the relationship between the Consumer Staples sector and the Consumer Discretionary sector.
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>Sundial Capital Research is an independent investment research firm dedicated to the application of mass psychology to the financial markets. Sundial publishes the SentimenTrader.com website.
Our focus is not market timing per se, but rather risk management. That may be a distinction without a difference, but it's how we approach the markets. We study signs that suggest it is time to raise or lower market exposure as a function of risk relative to probable reward. It is all about risk-adjusted expectations given existing evidence.
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