This week, we saw early selling pressure that started to trigger some risk warning models for the first time. Tuesday's buying pressure, with follow-through on Wednesday, erased some of bears' fuel, however. There remain some divergences, and fear is building among investors.
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This week, we saw early selling pressure that started to trigger some risk warning models for the first time. Tuesday's buying pressure, with follow-through on Wednesday, erased some of bears' fuel, however. There remain some divergences, and fear is building among investors.
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Having a 5th Friday in July is the exception to the rule. Given the stock market's past performance during THE WEEK AFTER July Week 5, maybe that's a good thing. In this piece, we take a closer look at the stock market's difficulty during this particular timeframe.
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Crude oil has surged over 8% in the last three days after registering a 30-day closing low on 7/19/21. Let's review the forward return outlook for the commodity and the energy sector.
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The NBER has declared an end to the 2020 recession in the U.S. but that doesn't necessarily mean that the coast is clear.
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The NBER has declared an end to recession in the U.S., ending the shortest one on record. After other public announcements of the ends of recessions, stocks were mixed up to a year later, yields typically rose, and Growth stocks struggled.
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There are many different types of option trading strategies. Selecting the strategy to use in a given situation typically involves assessing the tradeoff between maximizing profitability and maximizing the probability of profit and deciding which best suits your own objective for a given trade.
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The grain markets have shown a historical tendency for weakness in the July/August period. After bouncing off of an oversold condition in early July, if corn and soybeans are to follow their seasonal tendency, the time for that to happen may be at hand.
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The NBER has declared an end to recession in the U.S., ending the shortest one on record. After other public announcements of the ends of recessions, stocks were mixed up to a year later, yields typically rose, and Growth stocks struggled.
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Let's review a trading concept based on the consecutive days below a moving average indicator and the forward return outlook for the airline industry as a new signal triggered at the close of trading on 7/21/21.
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Sundial Capital Research is an independent investment research firm dedicated to the application of mass psychology to the financial markets. Sundial publishes the SentimenTrader.com website.
Our focus is not market timing per se, but rather risk management. That may be a distinction without a difference, but it's how we approach the markets. We study signs that suggest it is time to raise or lower market exposure as a function of risk relative to probable reward. It is all about risk-adjusted expectations given existing evidence.
