SentimenTrader Blog


2020-04-01 | Troy Bombardia | Premium

Economic data released this month will be shocking. Depending on how you look at it, this can be "as bad as the bottom in 2008/2009".

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2020-03-31 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

A simulated model of the VIX that goes back 60 years shows that volatility expectations are slowly easing. This SimVIX model just fell to a 5-day low after a near-record spike, which has preceded some short-term weakness in stocks, but longer-term strength.; Sentiment typically moves with price, and now that stocks are bouncing back from extreme oversold conditions, sentiment is also bouncing back from extremes.

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2020-03-31 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

A simulated model of the VIX that goes back 60 years shows that volatility expectations are slowly easing. This SimVIX model just fell to a 5-day low after a near-record spike, which has preceded some short-term weakness in stocks, but longer-term strength.

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2020-03-31 | Jason Goepfert | Premium

Short-selling in United Kingdom shares has exploded over the past few weeks. The number of short positions is at an 8-year high at least, with a record rate of change.

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2020-03-31 | Jason Goepfert | Lite

We take a look at some indicators showing a thaw (or lack thereof) in the crisis. More and more indexes are showing stocks with MACD buy signals.

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2020-03-31 | Troy Bombardia | Premium



2020-03-31 | Troy Bombardia | Premium

The stock market's rally in 2019 did not cause margin debt to rise, which is abnormal since marginal debt usually rises along with the stock market. Now that the S&P has fallen significantly from all-time highs, margin debt has also fallen to a multi-year low.

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2020-03-31 | Troy Bombardia | Basic

Sentiment typically moves with price, and now that stocks are bouncing back from extreme oversold conditions, sentiment is also bouncing back from extremes.

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2020-03-30 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

Stocks, and internal breadth measures, have been extremely positive over the past week. But outside of the broad market, there have been fewer signs of a thaw in the panic and concern among investors.; The S&P 500, along with some sectors and individual stocks, has triggered a Death Cross sell signal. While it did precede some weak short-term returns, it was not a good signal longer-term.

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2020-03-30 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

Stocks, and internal breadth measures, have been extremely positive over the past week. But outside of the broad market, there have been fewer signs of a thaw in the panic and concern among investors.

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