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TradingEdge Weekly for May 15 - Tech leadership, inflation warnings, sentiment reversals, and breadth fracture

by Sentimentrader
2026-05-15
U.S. equities hit record highs driven by Tech leadership, but rising caution flags—including simultaneous Hindenburg Omens, PPI spikes, and expanding new lows—warn of potential near-term market fractures.

Key points:

  • Technology sector leadership and momentum thrusts signal strong relative strength
  • PPI inflation crossing 9% historically correlates with severe market drawdowns
  • Rapid sentiment cycle reversal at record highs points to elevated near-term risk
  • Simultaneous NYSE and NASDAQ Hindenburg Omen triggers warn of fractured breadth
  • Put/Call and Gamma indicators reveal retail skepticism favoring a bullish bias
  • S&P 500 new low spike flags rising correction risk despite index highs
  • Seasonal and correlation data advise caution in Financials and Turkish equities

House view:

  • Stocks:
    • Short-term: Modestly Bullish. The VIX and CDX remain in healthy territory. U.S. stock markets hit new record highs, with all three major indices breaking through s

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