The never ending global stock market rally

Troy Bombardia
2020-11-17

Stocks continue to rally non-stop around the world, particularly in the Asia-Pacific region. The media claims this is due to the election's results, covid-19 vaccines, and Asia's new free trade bloc. Regardless of the reason, the past 2 weeks have seen strong sector shifts within the U.S. and broad-based rallies outside of the U.S.

Small cap equities jumped higher, pushing the % of Russell 2000 stocks in a long term uptrend to its highest level in years.

The never ending global stock market rally

Such strong momentum was typical of how prior bull markets began, which is why all 5 historical cases saw more gains over the next year:

The never ending global stock market rally

Sector rotation is noticeable among financial, energy, and industrial stocks. More than 95% of financial stocks are above their 50 and 200 dma's:

The never ending global stock market rally

Once again, such strong momentum usually led to more gains for financial stocks over the next year:

The never ending global stock market rally

In Asia, Japanese Optix's 10 dma is at one of its highest readings ever:

The never ending global stock market rally

But contrary to what you may expect, this was not a consistently bearish factor for Japanese stocks. Almost 30% of Japanese stocks were recently overbought:

The never ending global stock market rally

Once again, this was not a consistently bearish factor for Japanese equities on any time frame going forward:

The never ending global stock market rally

Elsewhere in Asia, 40% of Nifty 50 (India) stocks are overbought:

The never ending global stock market rally

Once again, things are not always as they appear. Contrary to being a bearish sign for Indian equities, this was a short term bullish sign for the Nifty 50 over the next 2-4 weeks:

The never ending global stock market rally