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The latest Commitments of Traders report was released, covering positions through Tuesday

Jason Goepfert
2022-02-18

The 3-Year Min/Max Screen showed that "smart money" commercial hedgers didn't make any major moves this week. Mostly, they undertook minor reversals of existing positions. In coffee, they're now holding nearly 30% of open interest net short, the most since November 2016. According to the Backtest Engine, such a large net short preceded negative median returns across all time frames, though it didn't prevent super trends like 2010. Thanks to a large short position in the S&P 500, they're still holding about $84 billion worth of short exposure to major equity index contracts. They didn't make any major changes in markets like gold, the dollar, 10-year Treasuries, or the VIX.

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