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Price and Seasonality align for Soybeans

Jay Kaeppel
2026-04-09
Soybeans are entering a favorable seasonal period. With price action presently favorable - and as long as it holds up - traders may find an opportunity playing the long side of this highly cyclical market. Non-futures traders can participate via the ETF ticker SOYB. Details herein.

Key points:

  • Soybeans are entering a favorable seasonal period and soybean price action remains favorable
  • This combination of favorable price action and seasonality offers speculators a potential opportunity
  • ETF ticker SOYB offers an alternative to trading riskier soybeans futures

Price and seasonality align for soybeans

Soybeans have historically been one of the most reliably cyclical markets. Due to the planting and harvesting seasons, prices tend to rise from early October into mid-July, and decline the rest of the time. Of course, this is NOT a roadmap to how price will act in any given year. Nevertheless, when seaonality and price action agree for soybeans, the odds favor the trading playing that side of the market.

The chart below shows soybean price action for the last several years. Note that price is presently in an established uptrend.

The chart below shows the Annual Seasonal Trend for soybeans, and highlights the period form Trading Day of the Year (TDY) #66 through TDY #90. For 2026, that period runs from the close on April 8th through May 12th.

The next chart shows the cumulative hypothetical gain fr

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Risk Disclosure: The information and tools provided are for research and analytical purposes only and are not intended as investment advice. Market analysis involves uncertainty, and outcomes may differ from expectations. Users should conduct their own due diligence and consider their individual circumstances before making any financial decisions. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

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