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Outlook

Jason Goepfert
2021-05-11

See the Outlook & Allocations page for more details on these summaries

STOCKS: Weak sell
The speculative frenzy in February is getting wrung out. Internal dynamics have mostly held up, with some recent exceptions. Most of our studies show a poor risk/reward over the short- to medium-term, with a more positive skew longer-term.

BONDS: Hold
Various parts of the market got hit in March, with the lowest Bond Optimism Index we usually see during healthy environments. After a shaky couple of weeks, the broad bond market has modestly recovered. Not a big edge here either way.

GOLD: Weak buy
The dollar keeps failing on bulls' hopes that it's finally going to turn a corner, so that's been good for gold and miners. Studies from recent months remain in effect, with a modest positive bias.

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