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One More Look at Energy in April

Jay Kaeppel
2021-04-05
Here we take one more look at the historical performance of the energy sector during the month of April.

I have noted the tendency for strength in the energy sector in general and crude oil in particular here, here and here. Still sometimes investors see a reference to a "sector" and they are not entirely sure how to access that, and a lot of people are shy about trading a specific commodity such as crude oil. 

So just to clarify, let's take one more swipe at the energy sector in April.

Ticker FSENX

For testing and illustrative purpose, we will use monthly total return data for ticker FSENX (Fidelity select Energy mutual fund) since inception in 1981 as a proxy for the broader energy sector. For actual trading purposes there are plenty of alternative including - but not limited to:

The chart below displays the cumulative growth for FSENX if held ONLY during the month of April. The lower left to upper right nature of the equity curve is fairly obvious.

The table below displays the year-by-year results for FSENX in April.

The table below displays the summary of FSENX April performance.

Summary

The good news is that FSENX has clearly been a stellar performer historically during the month of April. The bad news - as always - is that there is absolutely no guarantee that FSENX (or anything else energy-related) will necessarily perform well during April of 2021.

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Risk Disclosure: Futures and forex trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing ones’ financial security or life style. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Hypothetical Performance Disclosure: Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown; in fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk of actual trading. for example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all which can adversely affect trading results.

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