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NYSE Breadth is leaning toward the negative side

by Sentimentrader
2026-03-19
NYSE declining issues have outpaced advancers for seven straight sessions, a rare breadth signal that points to lackluster S&P 500 returns over the next 2 weeks amid rising 10-Year Treasury yields.

Key points:

  • Declining issues on the NYSE outnumbered advancing issues for seven consecutive sessions
  • Similar advance-decline dynamics led to lackluster returns over the subsequent 2 weeks
  • When the lopsided streak occurs in an uptrend, the outlook remains stagnant over the same horizon

What, if any, insights can we derive from the skewed NYSE breadth?

When considering breadth-based indicators for exchanges, we prefer the NYSE rather than the Nasdaq. The NYSE contains a more substantial collection of high-quality stocks and bond proxies, thus offering us two market insights.

Over the past few trading days, the seven sessions have marked a rare period of sustained downside breadth on the NYSE.This dynamic has only occurred 1% of the time since 1928.

Comparable stretches of skewed breadth led to uninspiring returns

With decliners outpacing advancers for seven straight days-a scenario seen just 1% of the time-history suggests a muted response from the S&P 500 over the following two weeks. Median returns during this period have consistently lagged the broader historical baseline.

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