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LQD Optix at extreme levels

Troy Bombardia
2020-08-14
LQD's Optix is extremely low.

LQD Optix is very low (below 6). When this happened before, investment grade bonds saw mixed returns in the short term but more bullish returns over 6+ months.


The above study isn't very representative of the current situation since many cases of extremely low short term optimism occurred after LQD had already crashed significantly. To narrow down the cases to fit the current scenario better, let's look at what happens to LQD when LQD Optix falls below 6 when LQD is within -3% of its 1 year high. This was a bearish sign for LQD over the next 3 months as the LQD pullback continued.

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