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Investment grade bonds haven't been a great investment

Jason Goepfert
2021-01-22

The WSJ pointed out that one of the few markets that has been struggling is investment-grade bonds. That certainly has been the case, as the 10-day average of the percentage of advancing bonds is just now trying to curl up from a very oversold condition.

A recent reading near 40% is one of the lower ones in 15 years.

As far as a signal, though, it's been only so-so. The LQD fund did tend to rise going forward but its average return was a bit below average. The biggest positive was that these signals triggered when coming out of oversold conditions, so forward losses tended to be limited.

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