Gold miners momentum breakout
Gold finally broke out of its multi-month trading range with a sharp surge, and gold miners quickly followed the move higher. The rally sent momentum measures soaring, pushing the RSI for the Gold BUGS Index to 79-the most elevated reading since 2019. When pairing a fresh 5-year high with this RSI level, the last comparable setup traces back to 1987.
Whenever this combination appeared in the past, chasing the momentum surge proved costly. In 12 of the last 14 cases, the Gold BUGS Index posted a loss at some point over the next three months.

Applying the momentum breakout conditions to Newmont Goldcorp shows a similar outcome, suggesting traders should not chase the upside breakout.

