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Dollar trend change

Jason Goepfert
2021-01-08

There's some brewing excitement out that that the buck is about to cross above its 20-day moving average (or close to it, anyway). This would be the first time above its average in more than 2 months, one of the longest streaks in its history.

Most of them have been false starts. When it's had such negative momentum before, it was almost universally during structural bear markets, and only 29% of these "trend changes" actually, you know, changed the trend when looking out over the next 6 months.

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