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Daily Report : TradingEdge Weekly for Dec 26 - Bond volatility impact on stocks, Gold Miners rally, NAAIM Index trends, TCTM Thrust Model insights

by Sentimentrader
2025-12-26
The Bond MOVE Index drop signals favorable conditions for stocks. While NAAIM sentiment is bullish, Gold Miners show signs of overheating based on breadth metrics. Plus, a look at the new TCTM Composite Thrust Model for identifying market surges.
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TradingEdge Weekly for Dec 26 - Bond volatility impact on stocks, Gold Miners rally, NAAIM Index trends, TCTM Thrust Model insights: The Bond MOVE Index drop signals favorable conditions for stocks. While NAAIM sentiment is bullish, Gold Miners show signs of overheating based on breadth metrics. Plus, a look at the new TCTM Composite Thrust Model for identifying market surges.

Smart / Dumb Money Confidence

Smart Money Confidence: 32% Dumb Money Confidence: 68%

Risk Levels

Stocks Short-Term

Stocks Medium-Term

Bonds

Crude Oil

Gold

Agriculture

Research

TradingEdge Weekly for Dec 26 - Bond volatility impact on stocks, Gold Miners rally, NAAIM Index trends, TCTM Thrust Model insights

By by Sentimentrader

BOTTOM LINE
The Bond MOVE Index drop signals favorable conditions for stocks. While NAAIM sentiment is bullish, Gold Miners show signs of overheating based on breadth metrics. Plus, a look at the new TCTM Composite Thrust Model for identifying market surges.

FORECAST / TIMEFRAME
None

Sentiment Risk On / Risk Off Overview

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Indicators at Extremes

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% Showing Pessimism: 7%
Bullish for Stocks
Inverse ETF Volume
Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs)
CSFB Fear Barometer
% Showing Optimism: 49%
Bearish for Stocks
Smart Money / Dumb Money Confidence Spread
VIX
Smart Money Confidence
Short-term Optimism Index (Optix)
VIX Term Structure
Dumb Money Confidence
Intermediate Term Optimism Index (Optix)
% Showing Excess Optimism
Rydex Money Market %
Rydex Ratio
S&P 500 Price Oscillator
NYSE High/Low Ratio
S&P 500 Down Pressure
ISE Equity Call/Put Ratio
Risk Appetite Index
ISE Call/Put Ratio
OEX Put/Call Ratio
Stock/Bond Ratio
AIM (Advisor and Investor Model)
SKEW Index
Retail Money Market Ratio
LOBO Put/Call Ratio
Options Speculation Index
NAAIM Exposure Index
NYSE Available Cash
AAII Allocation - Stocks
Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio
Mutual Fund Cash Level

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Sentiment Around The World

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Optimism Index Thumbnails

Sector ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Country ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Bond ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Currency ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
Commodity ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
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Risk Disclosure: The information and tools provided are for research and analytical purposes only and are not intended as investment advice. Market analysis involves uncertainty, and outcomes may differ from expectations. Users should conduct their own due diligence and consider their individual circumstances before making any financial decisions. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

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