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Daily Report : TradingEdge Weekly for Dec 12 - Gold Miners Santa Claus Rally, Risk On/Off indicator, Sentimentrader's TCTM, Capitulation in Utilities

by Sentimentrader
2025-12-12
Explore the upcoming 'Santa Claus Gold Miner Rally' and the market's shift to 'Risk-On' status. We analyze the zero-warning TCTM Recession Model, why the Utilities collapse signals strength, and our bullish outlook on stocks and gold.
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TradingEdge Weekly for Dec 12 - Gold Miners Santa Claus Rally, Risk On/Off indicator, Sentimentrader's TCTM, Capitulation in Utilities: Explore the upcoming 'Santa Claus Gold Miner Rally' and the market's shift to 'Risk-On' status. We analyze the zero-warning TCTM Recession Model, why the Utilities collapse signals strength, and our bullish outlook on stocks and gold.

Smart / Dumb Money Confidence

Smart Money Confidence: 38% Dumb Money Confidence: 75%

Risk Levels

Stocks Short-Term

Stocks Medium-Term

Bonds

Crude Oil

Gold

Agriculture

Research

TradingEdge Weekly for Dec 12 - Gold Miners Santa Claus Rally, Risk On/Off indicator, Sentimentrader's TCTM, Capitulation in Utilities

By by Sentimentrader

BOTTOM LINE
Explore the upcoming 'Santa Claus Gold Miner Rally' and the market's shift to 'Risk-On' status. We analyze the zero-warning TCTM Recession Model, why the Utilities collapse signals strength, and our bullish outlook on stocks and gold.

FORECAST / TIMEFRAME
None

Sentiment Risk On / Risk Off Overview

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Indicators at Extremes

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% Showing Pessimism: 7%
Bullish for Stocks
Inverse ETF Volume
OEX Put/Call Ratio
Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs)
CSFB Fear Barometer
% Showing Optimism: 42%
Bearish for Stocks
Smart Money / Dumb Money Confidence Spread
VIX
VIX Term Structure
Dumb Money Confidence
Intermediate Term Optimism Index (Optix)
% Showing Excess Optimism
S&P 500 Down Pressure
NYSE High/Low Ratio
ISE Equity Call/Put Ratio
ISE Call/Put Ratio
Rydex Ratio
Rydex Money Market %
SKEW Index
Stock/Bond Ratio
NAAIM Exposure Index
AIM (Advisor and Investor Model)
Retail Money Market Ratio
LOBO Put/Call Ratio
Options Speculation Index
AAII Allocation - Stocks
NYSE Available Cash
Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio
Mutual Fund Cash Level

Phase Table

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Ranks

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Sentiment Around The World

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Optimism Index Thumbnails

Sector ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Country ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Bond ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Currency ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
Commodity ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
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Risk Disclosure: The information and tools provided are for research and analytical purposes only and are not intended as investment advice. Market analysis involves uncertainty, and outcomes may differ from expectations. Users should conduct their own due diligence and consider their individual circumstances before making any financial decisions. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

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