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Daily Report : The Risk On/Off indicator shifts upward, triggering a buy signal

by Sentimentrader
2025-12-08
The Risk On/Off Indicator has shifted to "risk-on." A swing trading system tracking this reversal from extreme pessimism to optimism triggered a buy signal. Historically, similar signals near market highs have preceded strong gains for the S&P 500.
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Headlines

The Risk On/Off indicator shifts upward, triggering a buy signal: The Risk On/Off Indicator has shifted to "risk-on." A swing trading system tracking this reversal from extreme pessimism to optimism triggered a buy signal. Historically, similar signals near market highs have preceded strong gains for the S&P 500.

Smart / Dumb Money Confidence

Smart Money Confidence: 40% Dumb Money Confidence: 68%

Risk Levels

Stocks Short-Term

Stocks Medium-Term

Bonds

Crude Oil

Gold

Agriculture

Research

The Risk On/Off indicator shifts upward, triggering a buy signal

By by Sentimentrader

BOTTOM LINE
The Risk On/Off Indicator has shifted to "risk-on." A swing trading system tracking this reversal from extreme pessimism to optimism triggered a buy signal. Historically, similar signals near market highs have preceded strong gains for the S&P 500.

FORECAST / TIMEFRAME
None

Sentiment Risk On / Risk Off Overview

Click here to view the Sentiment Risk On / Risk Off Overview on the site.

Indicators at Extremes

Click here to view on the site (% Extremes and "Excess" tabs on the dashboard).
% Showing Pessimism: 9%
Bullish for Stocks
Inverse ETF Volume
Rydex Bearish Flow
OEX Put/Call Ratio
Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs)
CSFB Fear Barometer
% Showing Optimism: 42%
Bearish for Stocks
Smart Money / Dumb Money Confidence Spread
Intermediate Term Optimism Index (Optix)
Dumb Money Confidence
% Showing Excess Optimism
NYSE High/Low Ratio
Rydex Ratio
Rydex Money Market %
S&P 500 Down Pressure
ISE Equity Call/Put Ratio
Equity Put/Call Ratio
ISE Call/Put Ratio
VIX Term Structure
Options Speculation Index
Stock/Bond Ratio
LOBO Put/Call Ratio
SKEW Index
NAAIM Exposure Index
AIM (Advisor and Investor Model)
Retail Money Market Ratio
AAII Allocation - Stocks
Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio
NYSE Available Cash
Mutual Fund Cash Level

Phase Table

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Ranks

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Sentiment Around The World

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Optimism Index Thumbnails

Sector ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Country ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Bond ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Currency ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
Commodity ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
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