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Daily Report : TradingEdge Weekly for Dec 6 - Far above trend, easing fear, silver cycles

Jason Goepfert
2024-12-06
This week, we saw that major indices are far above their historical exponential trends, except for small and (especially) value stocks. Still, the environment remains positive as long as investor sentiment is constructive, fear is receding, and buyers show up late in the sessions, as has been the case. It's worrying that insiders are not buying and some industries like semis are struggilng.
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TradingEdge Weekly for Dec 6 - Far above trend, easing fear, silver cycles: This week, we saw that major indices are far above their historical exponential trends, except for small and (especially) value stocks. Still, the environment remains positive as long as investor sentiment is constructive, fear is receding, and buyers show up late in the sessions, as has been the case. It's worrying that insiders are not buying and some industries like semis are struggilng.

Smart / Dumb Money Confidence

Smart Money Confidence: 36% Dumb Money Confidence: 66%

Risk Levels

Stocks Short-Term

Stocks Medium-Term

Bonds

Crude Oil

Gold

Agriculture

Research

TradingEdge Weekly for Dec 6 - Far above trend, easing fear, silver cycles

By Jason Goepfert

BOTTOM LINE
This week, we saw that major indices are far above their historical exponential trends, except for small and (especially) value stocks. Still, the environment remains positive as long as investor sentiment is constructive, fear is receding, and buyers show up late in the sessions, as has been the case. It's worrying that insiders are not buying and some industries like semis are struggilng.

FORECAST / TIMEFRAME
None

Sentiment Risk On / Risk Off Overview

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Indicators at Extremes

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% Showing Pessimism: 9%
Bullish for Stocks
OEX Open Interest Ratio
S&P 500 Down Pressure
OEX Put/Call Ratio
Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs)
CSFB Fear Barometer
% Showing Optimism: 51%
Bearish for Stocks
Smart Money / Dumb Money Confidence Spread
ISE Equity Call/Put Ratio
NYSE Arms Index
NYSE High/Low Ratio
Short-term Optimism Index (Optix)
Rydex Ratio
Rydex Money Market %
Smart Money Confidence
Equity Put/Call Ratio
ISE Call/Put Ratio
% Showing Excess Optimism
Intermediate Term Optimism Index (Optix)
VIX
VIX Term Structure
Dumb Money Confidence
SKEW Index
AAII Bull Ratio
NAAIM Exposure Index
AIM (Advisor and Investor Model)
Retail Money Market Ratio
Insider Buy/Sell Seasonally Adj
Equity Hedging Index
AAII Allocation - Stocks
Options Speculation Index
LOBO Put/Call Ratio
NYSE Available Cash
Mutual Fund Cash Level
Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio

Phase Table

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Ranks

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Sentiment Around The World

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Optimism Index Thumbnails

Sector ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Country ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Bond ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Currency ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
Commodity ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
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Risk Disclosure: The information and tools provided are for research and analytical purposes only and are not intended as investment advice. Market analysis involves uncertainty, and outcomes may differ from expectations. Users should conduct their own due diligence and consider their individual circumstances before making any financial decisions. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

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