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Daily Report : What you need to know about the year-end rally

Jason Goepfert
2024-11-21
The stock market is soon entering the purported "year-end rally" period. What should investors expect? To answer that question, we analyze some market history.
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Headlines

What you need to know about the year-end rally: The stock market is soon entering the purported "year-end rally" period. What should investors expect? To answer that question, we analyze some market history.

Smart / Dumb Money Confidence

Smart Money Confidence: 34% Dumb Money Confidence: 66%

Risk Levels

Stocks Short-Term

Stocks Medium-Term

Bonds

Crude Oil

Gold

Agriculture

Research

What you need to know about the year-end rally

By Jay Kaeppel

BOTTOM LINE
The stock market is soon entering the purported "year-end rally" period. What should investors expect? To answer that question, we analyze some market history.

FORECAST / TIMEFRAME
None

Sentiment Risk On / Risk Off Overview

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Indicators at Extremes

Click here to view on the site (% Extremes and "Excess" tabs on the dashboard).
% Showing Pessimism: 9%
Bullish for Stocks
Inverse ETF Volume
OEX Open Interest Ratio
OEX Put/Call Ratio
Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs)
CSFB Fear Barometer
% Showing Optimism: 44%
Bearish for Stocks
Smart Money / Dumb Money Confidence Spread
ISE Equity Call/Put Ratio
NYSE Arms Index
Risk Appetite Index
Rydex Bearish Flow
Rydex Ratio
Rydex Money Market %
Smart Money Confidence
ISE Call/Put Ratio
% Showing Excess Optimism
Dumb Money Confidence
SKEW Index
AIM (Advisor and Investor Model)
Retail Money Market Ratio
Equity Hedging Index
Options Speculation Index
ROBO Put/Call Ratio
NAAIM Exposure Index
AAII Bull Ratio
Major Index Combo
AAII Allocation - Stocks
NYSE Available Cash
Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio
Mutual Fund Cash Level

Phase Table

Click here to view the Phase Table on the site.

Ranks

Click here to view on the site (Ranks tab on the Dashboard).

Sentiment Around The World

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Optimism Index Thumbnails

Sector ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Country ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Bond ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Currency ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
Commodity ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
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Risk Disclosure: The information and tools provided are for research and analytical purposes only and are not intended as investment advice. Market analysis involves uncertainty, and outcomes may differ from expectations. Users should conduct their own due diligence and consider their individual circumstances before making any financial decisions. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

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