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Daily Report : A near-record whiplash in new highs

Jason Goepfert
2024-11-18
Across the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Russell 2000, and even the broader NYSE, more stocks are suddenly falling to 52-week lows than hitting 52-week highs. This has been a historically rapid switch, and does not bode well over shorter time frames. Such behavior tends to be a bull market phenomenon, however, so longer time frames showed mostly positive returns.
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Headlines

A near-record whiplash in new highs: Across the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Russell 2000, and even the broader NYSE, more stocks are suddenly falling to 52-week lows than hitting 52-week highs. This has been a historically rapid switch, and does not bode well over shorter time frames. Such behavior tends to be a bull market phenomenon, however, so longer time frames showed mostly positive returns.

Smart / Dumb Money Confidence

Smart Money Confidence: 35% Dumb Money Confidence: 62%

Risk Levels

Stocks Short-Term

Stocks Medium-Term

Bonds

Crude Oil

Gold

Agriculture

Research

A near-record whiplash in new highs

By Jason Goepfert

BOTTOM LINE
Across the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Russell 2000, and even the broader NYSE, more stocks are suddenly falling to 52-week lows than hitting 52-week highs. This has been a historically rapid switch, and does not bode well over shorter time frames. Such behavior tends to be a bull market phenomenon, however, so longer time frames showed mostly positive returns.

FORECAST / TIMEFRAME
None

Sentiment Risk On / Risk Off Overview

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Indicators at Extremes

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% Showing Pessimism: 7%
Bullish for Stocks
S&P 500 Down Pressure
OEX Open Interest Ratio
Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs)
CSFB Fear Barometer
% Showing Optimism: 40%
Bearish for Stocks
Smart Money / Dumb Money Confidence Spread
Equity Hedging Index
NYSE Arms Index
Rydex Bearish Flow
Rydex Ratio
Rydex Money Market %
Smart Money Confidence
ISE Equity Call/Put Ratio
% Showing Excess Optimism
ISE Call/Put Ratio
Dumb Money Confidence
SKEW Index
ROBO Put/Call Ratio
Options Speculation Index
NAAIM Exposure Index
AAII Bull Ratio
Major Index Combo
AIM (Advisor and Investor Model)
Retail Money Market Ratio
AAII Allocation - Stocks
Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio
Mutual Fund Cash Level
NYSE Available Cash

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Sector ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Country ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Bond ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Currency ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
Commodity ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
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