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Daily Report : Resurgent small caps after years of neglect

Jason Goepfert
2024-11-13
Small-cap stocks have underperformed large caps for a record number of years, priming them for some mean-reversion. A recent jump in new highs among smaller stocks is a compelling trigger for that reversion, even though many of them are still struggling to regain their 200-day moving averages.
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Headlines

Resurgent small caps after years of neglect: Small-cap stocks have underperformed large caps for a record number of years, priming them for some mean-reversion. A recent jump in new highs among smaller stocks is a compelling trigger for that reversion, even though many of them are still struggling to regain their 200-day moving averages.

Smart / Dumb Money Confidence

Smart Money Confidence: 28% Dumb Money Confidence: 65%

Risk Levels

Stocks Short-Term

Stocks Medium-Term

Bonds

Crude Oil

Gold

Agriculture

Research

Resurgent small caps after years of neglect

By Jason Goepfert

BOTTOM LINE
Small-cap stocks have underperformed large caps for a record number of years, priming them for some mean-reversion. A recent jump in new highs among smaller stocks is a compelling trigger for that reversion, even though many of them are still struggling to regain their 200-day moving averages.

FORECAST / TIMEFRAME
None

Sentiment Risk On / Risk Off Overview

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Indicators at Extremes

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% Showing Pessimism: 14%
Bullish for Stocks
Inverse ETF Volume
NYSE Up Issues Ratio
NYSE Up Volume Ratio
OEX Open Interest Ratio
S&P 500 Down Pressure
OEX Put/Call Ratio
Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs)
CSFB Fear Barometer
% Showing Optimism: 47%
Bearish for Stocks
Smart Money / Dumb Money Confidence Spread
ISE Equity Call/Put Ratio
NYSE High/Low Ratio
Rydex Bearish Flow
Rydex Ratio
Rydex Money Market %
Smart Money Confidence
Equity Put/Call Ratio
AIM (Advisor and Investor Model)
% Showing Excess Optimism
Intermediate Term Optimism Index (Optix)
VIX
Dumb Money Confidence
SKEW Index
Stock/Bond Ratio
Retail Money Market Ratio
Equity Hedging Index
Options Speculation Index
LOBO Put/Call Ratio
Insider Buy/Sell Seasonally Adj
NAAIM Exposure Index
AAII Bull Ratio
Major Index Combo
AAII Allocation - Stocks
NYSE Available Cash
Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio
Mutual Fund Cash Level

Phase Table

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Ranks

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Sentiment Around The World

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Optimism Index Thumbnails

Sector ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Country ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Bond ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Currency ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
Commodity ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
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