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Daily Report : Consumers are all-in on stocks AND bonds

Jason Goepfert
2024-11-06
According to the Conference Board, consumers are optimistic about the future of the stock market. They're also increasingly expecting gains in bond prices. It's rare to see them so confident about both the stock and bond market at the same time. When they have been, stocks have performed well while bonds did not.
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Headlines

Consumers are all-in on stocks AND bonds: According to the Conference Board, consumers are optimistic about the future of the stock market. They're also increasingly expecting gains in bond prices. It's rare to see them so confident about both the stock and bond market at the same time. When they have been, stocks have performed well while bonds did not.

Smart / Dumb Money Confidence

Smart Money Confidence: 37% Dumb Money Confidence: 61%

Risk Levels

Stocks Short-Term

Stocks Medium-Term

Bonds

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Agriculture

Research

Consumers are all-in on stocks AND bonds

By Jason Goepfert

BOTTOM LINE
According to the Conference Board, consumers are optimistic about the future of the stock market. They're also increasingly expecting gains in bond prices. It's rare to see them so confident about both the stock and bond market at the same time. When they have been, stocks have performed well while bonds did not.

FORECAST / TIMEFRAME
None

Sentiment Risk On / Risk Off Overview

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Indicators at Extremes

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% Showing Pessimism: 14%
Bullish for Stocks
Inverse ETF Volume
OEX Open Interest Ratio
VIX
VIX Term Structure
Insider Buy/Sell Seasonally Adj
Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs)
CSFB Fear Barometer
% Showing Optimism: 39%
Bearish for Stocks
S&P 500 Price Oscillator
ISE Equity Call/Put Ratio
NYSE Up Issues Ratio
NYSE Up Volume Ratio
NYSE High/Low Ratio
Short-term Optimism Index (Optix)
Rydex Bearish Flow
Rydex Ratio
Rydex Money Market %
S&P 500 Down Pressure
AIM (Advisor and Investor Model)
% Showing Excess Optimism
SKEW Index
Retail Money Market Ratio
Equity Hedging Index
Options Speculation Index
AAII Allocation - Stocks
NAAIM Exposure Index
Major Index Combo
NYSE Available Cash
Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio
Mutual Fund Cash Level

Phase Table

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Ranks

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Sentiment Around The World

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Optimism Index Thumbnails

Sector ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Country ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Bond ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Currency ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
Commodity ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
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