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< BACK TO ALL REPORTS

Daily Report : A look at post-election sector and factor performance

Jason Goepfert
2024-11-05
Do specific sectors or factors tend to outperform following a U.S. Presidential election? We examine the post-WWII history here.
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Headlines

A look at post-election sector and factor performance: Do specific sectors or factors tend to outperform following a U.S. Presidential election? We examine the post-WWII history here.

Smart / Dumb Money Confidence

Smart Money Confidence: 39% Dumb Money Confidence: 56%

Risk Levels

Stocks Short-Term

Stocks Medium-Term

Bonds

Crude Oil

Gold

Agriculture

Research

A look at post-election sector and factor performance

By Jay Kaeppel

BOTTOM LINE
Do specific sectors or factors tend to outperform following a U.S. Presidential election? We examine the post-WWII history here.

FORECAST / TIMEFRAME
None

Sentiment Risk On / Risk Off Overview

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Indicators at Extremes

Click here to view on the site (% Extremes and "Excess" tabs on the dashboard).
% Showing Pessimism: 19%
Bullish for Stocks
Inverse ETF Volume
OEX Open Interest Ratio
S&P 500 Down Pressure
VIX
VIX Term Structure
Total Put/Call Ratio
OEX Put/Call Ratio
Insider Buy/Sell Seasonally Adj
Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs)
CSFB Fear Barometer
% Showing Optimism: 25%
Bearish for Stocks
Retail Money Market Ratio
Rydex Bearish Flow
Rydex Ratio
Rydex Money Market %
SKEW Index
Options Speculation Index
Equity Hedging Index
AAII Allocation - Stocks
NAAIM Exposure Index
AIM (Advisor and Investor Model)
Major Index Combo
NYSE Available Cash
Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio
Mutual Fund Cash Level

Phase Table

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Ranks

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Sentiment Around The World

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Optimism Index Thumbnails

Sector ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Country ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Bond ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Currency ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
Commodity ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
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Risk Disclosure: The information and tools provided are for research and analytical purposes only and are not intended as investment advice. Market analysis involves uncertainty, and outcomes may differ from expectations. Users should conduct their own due diligence and consider their individual circumstances before making any financial decisions. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Hypothetical Performance Disclosure: Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown; in fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk of actual trading. for example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all which can adversely affect trading results.

Testimonial Disclosure: Testimonials appearing on this website may not be representative of other clients or customers and is not a guarantee of future performance or success.