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Daily Report : The Split Between "Smart Money" and Retail Investors

by Sentimentrader
2025-10-20
Ahead of Super Tech Earnings Week, XLK is in narrow consolidation. Market splits: retail/seasonal bullish vs smart money bearish, with insider selling, low P/C Ratio, weakening breadth/fund flows signaling bearish divergence.
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Headlines

The Split Between "Smart Money" and Retail Investors: Ahead of Super Tech Earnings Week, XLK is in narrow consolidation. Market splits: retail/seasonal bullish vs smart money bearish, with insider selling, low P/C Ratio, weakening breadth/fund flows signaling bearish divergence.

Smart / Dumb Money Confidence

Smart Money Confidence: 59% Dumb Money Confidence: 61%

Risk Levels

Stocks Short-Term

Stocks Medium-Term

Bonds

Crude Oil

Gold

Agriculture

Research

The Split Between "Smart Money" and Retail Investors

By by Sentimentrader

BOTTOM LINE
Ahead of Super Tech Earnings Week, XLK is in narrow consolidation. Market splits: retail/seasonal bullish vs smart money bearish, with insider selling, low P/C Ratio, weakening breadth/fund flows signaling bearish divergence.

FORECAST / TIMEFRAME
None

Sentiment Risk On / Risk Off Overview

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Indicators at Extremes

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% Showing Pessimism: 12%
Bullish for Stocks
Inverse ETF Volume
VIX
SPY Liquidity Premium
OEX Put/Call Ratio
Risk Appetite Index
Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs)
CSFB Fear Barometer
% Showing Optimism: 30%
Bearish for Stocks
Short-term Optimism Index (Optix)
Retail Money Market Ratio
Dumb Money Confidence
% Showing Excess Optimism
Rydex Ratio
Rydex Money Market %
S&P 500 Down Pressure
ISE Equity Call/Put Ratio
ISE Call/Put Ratio
Options Speculation Index
SKEW Index
LOBO Put/Call Ratio
NAAIM Exposure Index
AIM (Advisor and Investor Model)
NYSE Available Cash
AAII Allocation - Stocks
Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio
Mutual Fund Cash Level

Phase Table

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Ranks

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Sentiment Around The World

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Optimism Index Thumbnails

Sector ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Country ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Bond ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Currency ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
Commodity ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
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