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Daily Report : A few storm clouds gather on the horizon

Jason Goepfert
2024-10-08
The stock market's current trend appears good overall. However, several indicators recently suggest that significant trouble could be brewing ahead. While these signals do not necessarily constitute a "call to action," they constitute a "call to pay close attention." We discuss the details herein.
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Headlines

A few storm clouds gather on the horizon: The stock market's current trend appears good overall. However, several indicators recently suggest that significant trouble could be brewing ahead. While these signals do not necessarily constitute a "call to action," they constitute a "call to pay close attention." We discuss the details herein.

Smart / Dumb Money Confidence

Smart Money Confidence: 46% Dumb Money Confidence: 72%

Risk Levels

Stocks Short-Term

Stocks Medium-Term

Bonds

Crude Oil

Gold

Agriculture

Research

A few storm clouds gather on the horizon

By Jay Kaeppel

BOTTOM LINE
The stock market's current trend appears good overall. However, several indicators recently suggest that significant trouble could be brewing ahead. While these signals do not necessarily constitute a "call to action," they constitute a "call to pay close attention." We discuss the details herein.

FORECAST / TIMEFRAME
None

Sentiment Risk On / Risk Off Overview

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Indicators at Extremes

Click here to view on the site (% Extremes and "Excess" tabs on the dashboard).
% Showing Pessimism: 19%
Bullish for Stocks
Inverse ETF Volume
VIX
VIX Term Structure
OEX Open Interest Ratio
OEX Put/Call Ratio
Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs)
CSFB Fear Barometer
% Showing Optimism: 37%
Bearish for Stocks
Smart Money / Dumb Money Confidence Spread
S&P 500 Price Oscillator
Short-term Optimism Index (Optix)
NYSE High/Low Ratio
S&P 500 Down Pressure
% Showing Excess Optimism
Intermediate Term Optimism Index (Optix)
SKEW Index
Rydex Money Market %
Rydex Ratio
Rydex Bearish Flow
Retail Money Market Ratio
Dumb Money Confidence
ISE Call/Put Ratio
Options Speculation Index
NAAIM Exposure Index
AAII Bull Ratio
AIM (Advisor and Investor Model)
AAII Allocation - Stocks
NYSE Available Cash
Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio
Mutual Fund Cash Level

Phase Table

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Ranks

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Sentiment Around The World

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Optimism Index Thumbnails

Sector ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Country ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Bond ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Currency ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
Commodity ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
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