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Daily Report : TradingEdge Weekly for Sep 27 - Good breadth conditions, gold cross currents, the dollar and commodities

Jason Goepfert
2024-09-27
This week, we saw that internal momentum has been exceptional, with the McClellan Summation Index giving a signal with a perfect record of gains ahead. Small-cap stocks have enjoyed a rare bout of persistent positive momentum as cyclical industries reach new highs. Gold is facing cross-currents depending on the time frame. Watching the dollar can help with gauging opportunities in commodities.
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Headlines

TradingEdge Weekly for Sep 27 - Good breadth conditions, gold cross currents, the dollar and commodities: This week, we saw that internal momentum has been exceptional, with the McClellan Summation Index giving a signal with a perfect record of gains ahead. Small-cap stocks have enjoyed a rare bout of persistent positive momentum as cyclical industries reach new highs. Gold is facing cross-currents depending on the time frame. Watching the dollar can help with gauging opportunities in commodities.

Smart / Dumb Money Confidence

Smart Money Confidence: 44% Dumb Money Confidence: 70%

Risk Levels

Stocks Short-Term

Stocks Medium-Term

Bonds

Crude Oil

Gold

Agriculture

Research

TradingEdge Weekly for Sep 27 - Good breadth conditions, gold cross currents, the dollar and commodities

By Jason Goepfert

BOTTOM LINE
This week, we saw that internal momentum has been exceptional, with the McClellan Summation Index giving a signal with a perfect record of gains ahead. Small-cap stocks have enjoyed a rare bout of persistent positive momentum as cyclical industries reach new highs. Gold is facing cross-currents depending on the time frame. Watching the dollar can help with gauging opportunities in commodities.

FORECAST / TIMEFRAME
None

Sentiment Risk On / Risk Off Overview

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% Showing Pessimism: 12%
Bullish for Stocks
Inverse ETF Volume
S&P 500 Price Oscillator
OEX Open Interest Ratio
OEX Put/Call Ratio
Insider Buy/Sell Seasonally Adj
Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs)
CSFB Fear Barometer
% Showing Optimism: 35%
Bearish for Stocks
Smart Money / Dumb Money Confidence Spread
NYSE High/Low Ratio
NYSE Up Volume Ratio
ISE Equity Call/Put Ratio
Dumb Money Confidence
% Showing Excess Optimism
Intermediate Term Optimism Index (Optix)
SKEW Index
Equity Put/Call Ratio
Rydex Money Market %
Rydex Ratio
AAII Bull Ratio
NAAIM Exposure Index
AIM (Advisor and Investor Model)
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Options Speculation Index
Mutual Fund Cash Level
NYSE Available Cash
AAII Allocation - Stocks
Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio

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Sector ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Country ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Bond ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Currency ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
Commodity ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
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Risk Disclosure: The information and tools provided are for research and analytical purposes only and are not intended as investment advice. Market analysis involves uncertainty, and outcomes may differ from expectations. Users should conduct their own due diligence and consider their individual circumstances before making any financial decisions. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Hypothetical Performance Disclosure: Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown; in fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk of actual trading. for example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all which can adversely affect trading results.

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