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Daily Report : TradingEdge Weekly for Sep 26 - Broad-based breakouts, market sentiment shifts, silver's uptrend

by Sentimentrader
2025-09-26
Major indexes hit record highs, but weakening breadth & sentiment are short-term warnings. Silver shows secular bull momentum. Seasonal trends favor Natural Gas over the Canadian Dollar and Soybeans. Equal-weight vs. cap-weight strategies continue to diverge.
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Headlines

TradingEdge Weekly for Sep 26 - Broad-based breakouts, market sentiment shifts, silver's uptrend: Major indexes hit record highs, but weakening breadth & sentiment are short-term warnings. Silver shows secular bull momentum. Seasonal trends favor Natural Gas over the Canadian Dollar and Soybeans. Equal-weight vs. cap-weight strategies continue to diverge.

Smart / Dumb Money Confidence

Smart Money Confidence: 42% Dumb Money Confidence: 67%

Risk Levels

Stocks Short-Term

Stocks Medium-Term

Bonds

Crude Oil

Gold

Agriculture

Research

TradingEdge Weekly for Sep 26 - Broad-based breakouts, market sentiment shifts, silver's uptrend

By by Sentimentrader

BOTTOM LINE
Major indexes hit record highs, but weakening breadth & sentiment are short-term warnings. Silver shows secular bull momentum. Seasonal trends favor Natural Gas over the Canadian Dollar and Soybeans. Equal-weight vs. cap-weight strategies continue to diverge.

FORECAST / TIMEFRAME
None

Sentiment Risk On / Risk Off Overview

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Indicators at Extremes

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% Showing Pessimism: 9%
Bullish for Stocks
Inverse ETF Volume
S&P 500 Down Pressure
NYSE Up Issues Ratio
Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs)
CSFB Fear Barometer
% Showing Optimism: 40%
Bearish for Stocks
Smart Money / Dumb Money Confidence Spread
Short-term Optimism Index (Optix)
Dumb Money Confidence
Intermediate Term Optimism Index (Optix)
% Showing Excess Optimism
NYSE Arms Index
ISE Equity Call/Put Ratio
ISE Call/Put Ratio
OEX Put/Call Ratio
Rydex Ratio
Rydex Money Market %
SKEW Index
NAAIM Exposure Index
AIM (Advisor and Investor Model)
Retail Money Market Ratio
Equity Hedging Index
ROBO Put/Call Ratio
LOBO Put/Call Ratio
Options Speculation Index
NYSE Available Cash
AAII Allocation - Stocks
Mutual Fund Cash Level
Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio

Phase Table

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Ranks

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Sentiment Around The World

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Optimism Index Thumbnails

Sector ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Country ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Bond ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Currency ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
Commodity ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
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