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Daily Report : Late-session strength points to further gains

by Sentimentrader
2025-09-15
A sharp spike in the last-hour indicatora measure of late-day buying interest or overall risk appetiteoften signals conviction among buyers. Historically, such spikes have been highly predictive of sustained uptrends, with roughly 90% of cases leading to a higher S&P 500 over the following six months.
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Headlines

Late-session strength points to further gains: A sharp spike in the last-hour indicatora measure of late-day buying interest or overall risk appetiteoften signals conviction among buyers. Historically, such spikes have been highly predictive of sustained uptrends, with roughly 90% of cases leading to a higher S&P 500 over the following six months.

Smart / Dumb Money Confidence

Smart Money Confidence: 39% Dumb Money Confidence: 66%

Risk Levels

Stocks Short-Term

Stocks Medium-Term

Bonds

Crude Oil

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Agriculture

Research

Late-session strength points to further gains

By by Sentimentrader

BOTTOM LINE
A sharp spike in the last-hour indicatora measure of late-day buying interest or overall risk appetiteoften signals conviction among buyers. Historically, such spikes have been highly predictive of sustained uptrends, with roughly 90% of cases leading to a higher S&P 500 over the following six months.

FORECAST / TIMEFRAME
None

Sentiment Risk On / Risk Off Overview

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Indicators at Extremes

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% Showing Pessimism: 7%
Bullish for Stocks
Rydex Bearish Flow
AAII Bull Ratio
Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs)
CSFB Fear Barometer
% Showing Optimism: 42%
Bearish for Stocks
Smart Money / Dumb Money Confidence Spread
Intermediate Term Optimism Index (Optix)
Short-term Optimism Index (Optix)
Dumb Money Confidence
% Showing Excess Optimism
NYSE High/Low Ratio
VIX
Insider Buy/Sell Seasonally Adj
Rydex Ratio
Rydex Money Market %
NYSE Arms Index
ISE Equity Call/Put Ratio
ISE Call/Put Ratio
VIX Term Structure
Options Speculation Index
LOBO Put/Call Ratio
SKEW Index
NAAIM Exposure Index
AIM (Advisor and Investor Model)
Retail Money Market Ratio
AAII Allocation - Stocks
Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio
NYSE Available Cash
Mutual Fund Cash Level

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Optimism Index Thumbnails

Sector ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Country ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Bond ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Currency ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
Commodity ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
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