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Daily Report : Weekly wrap - Breadth blast, Asia-Pacific participation, oil vs. gold vs. stocks

Jason Goepfert
2025-08-22
This week, we saw another jump in breadth as stocks challenged their previous highs, erasing multiple down days. Asia-Pacific continues to do very well. Small options traders are bullish, but not like the 2021 mania. Staples continue to lag the broader market, which is a good sign, as is the low price of oil relative to gold.
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Weekly wrap - Breadth blast, Asia-Pacific participation, oil vs. gold vs. stocks: This week, we saw another jump in breadth as stocks challenged their previous highs, erasing multiple down days. Asia-Pacific continues to do very well. Small options traders are bullish, but not like the 2021 mania. Staples continue to lag the broader market, which is a good sign, as is the low price of oil relative to gold.

Smart / Dumb Money Confidence

Smart Money Confidence: 41% Dumb Money Confidence: 70%

Risk Levels

Stocks Short-Term

Stocks Medium-Term

Bonds

Crude Oil

Gold

Agriculture

Research

Weekly wrap - Breadth blast, Asia-Pacific participation, oil vs. gold vs. stocks

By Jason Goepfert

BOTTOM LINE
This week, we saw another jump in breadth as stocks challenged their previous highs, erasing multiple down days. Asia-Pacific continues to do very well. Small options traders are bullish, but not like the 2021 mania. Staples continue to lag the broader market, which is a good sign, as is the low price of oil relative to gold.

FORECAST / TIMEFRAME
None

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Indicators at Extremes

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% Showing Pessimism: 7%
Bullish for Stocks
Inverse ETF Volume
S&P 500 Down Pressure
Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs)
CSFB Fear Barometer
% Showing Optimism: 33%
Bearish for Stocks
Smart Money / Dumb Money Confidence Spread
Short-term Optimism Index (Optix)
Dumb Money Confidence
Intermediate Term Optimism Index (Optix)
% Showing Excess Optimism
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SKEW Index
NAAIM Exposure Index
AIM (Advisor and Investor Model)
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Options Speculation Index
NYSE Available Cash
AAII Allocation - Stocks
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Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio

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