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Daily Report : Weekly wrap - Breadth blast, easing uncertainty, better business sentiment

Jason Goepfert
2025-08-15
This week, we saw breadth surge, thanks to a jump in small-cap stocks. That follows an unusually poor reading early in the week, focused on big tech stocks. Investor fears about monetary policy and inflation have ebbed, and small business sentiment has rebounded, which are good long-term signs.
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Weekly wrap - Breadth blast, easing uncertainty, better business sentiment: This week, we saw breadth surge, thanks to a jump in small-cap stocks. That follows an unusually poor reading early in the week, focused on big tech stocks. Investor fears about monetary policy and inflation have ebbed, and small business sentiment has rebounded, which are good long-term signs.

Smart / Dumb Money Confidence

Smart Money Confidence: 41% Dumb Money Confidence: 65%

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Research

Weekly wrap - Breadth blast, easing uncertainty, better business sentiment

By Jason Goepfert

BOTTOM LINE
This week, we saw breadth surge, thanks to a jump in small-cap stocks. That follows an unusually poor reading early in the week, focused on big tech stocks. Investor fears about monetary policy and inflation have ebbed, and small business sentiment has rebounded, which are good long-term signs.

FORECAST / TIMEFRAME
None

Sentiment Risk On / Risk Off Overview

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Indicators at Extremes

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% Showing Pessimism: 16%
Bullish for Stocks
Inverse ETF Volume
Equity Put/Call Ratio
NYSE Up Volume Ratio
NYSE Up Issues Ratio
AAII Bull Ratio
Insider Buy/Sell Seasonally Adj
Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs)
CSFB Fear Barometer
% Showing Optimism: 35%
Bearish for Stocks
VIX
VIX Term Structure
Dumb Money Confidence
Intermediate Term Optimism Index (Optix)
% Showing Excess Optimism
NYSE High/Low Ratio
ISE Equity Call/Put Ratio
OEX Open Interest Ratio
OEX Put/Call Ratio
Rydex Ratio
Rydex Money Market %
SKEW Index
NAAIM Exposure Index
AIM (Advisor and Investor Model)
Retail Money Market Ratio
Options Speculation Index
AAII Allocation - Stocks
Mutual Fund Cash Level
Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio
NYSE Available Cash

Phase Table

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Ranks

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Sentiment Around The World

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Optimism Index Thumbnails

Sector ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Country ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Bond ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Currency ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
Commodity ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
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