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Daily Report : Bullish markets break records

Jason Goepfert
2025-07-29
The S&P 500 has surged to a sixth consecutive record high. Comparable streaks have led to further gains, with the index rallying 80% of the time over the following three to twelve months.
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Bullish markets break records: The S&P 500 has surged to a sixth consecutive record high. Comparable streaks have led to further gains, with the index rallying 80% of the time over the following three to twelve months.

Smart / Dumb Money Confidence

Smart Money Confidence: 31% Dumb Money Confidence: 73%

Risk Levels

Stocks Short-Term

Stocks Medium-Term

Bonds

Crude Oil

Gold

Agriculture

Research

Bullish markets break records

By Dean Christians

BOTTOM LINE
The S&P 500 has surged to a sixth consecutive record high. Comparable streaks have led to further gains, with the index rallying 80% of the time over the following three to twelve months.

FORECAST / TIMEFRAME
None

Sentiment Risk On / Risk Off Overview

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Indicators at Extremes

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% Showing Pessimism: 11%
Bullish for Stocks
NYSE Up Volume Ratio
Rydex Bearish Flow
OEX Put/Call Ratio
Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs)
CSFB Fear Barometer
% Showing Optimism: 39%
Bearish for Stocks
Smart Money / Dumb Money Confidence Spread
NYSE High/Low Ratio
Retail Money Market Ratio
Rydex Ratio
Rydex Money Market %
Smart Money Confidence
% Showing Excess Optimism
Intermediate Term Optimism Index (Optix)
VIX Term Structure
ISE Call/Put Ratio
Dumb Money Confidence
SKEW Index
Options Speculation Index
LOBO Put/Call Ratio
Insider Buy/Sell Seasonally Adj
Risk Appetite Index
NAAIM Exposure Index
AIM (Advisor and Investor Model)
AAII Allocation - Stocks
NYSE Available Cash
Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio
Mutual Fund Cash Level

Phase Table

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Ranks

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Sentiment Around The World

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Optimism Index Thumbnails

Sector ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Country ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Bond ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Currency ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
Commodity ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
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