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Daily Report : A bullish win streak for the S&P 500

Jason Goepfert
2025-07-15
For only the 15th time since 1935, the S&P 500 closed above its 20-day average for 55 consecutive trading sessions. Similar win streaks saw the world's most benchmarked index rally over the following three months in all but one case.
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Headlines

A bullish win streak for the S&P 500: For only the 15th time since 1935, the S&P 500 closed above its 20-day average for 55 consecutive trading sessions. Similar win streaks saw the world's most benchmarked index rally over the following three months in all but one case.

Smart / Dumb Money Confidence

Smart Money Confidence: 31% Dumb Money Confidence: 74%

Risk Levels

Stocks Short-Term

Stocks Medium-Term

Bonds

Crude Oil

Gold

Agriculture

Research

A bullish win streak for the S&P 500

By Dean Christians

BOTTOM LINE
For only the 15th time since 1935, the S&P 500 closed above its 20-day average for 55 consecutive trading sessions. Similar win streaks saw the world's most benchmarked index rally over the following three months in all but one case.

FORECAST / TIMEFRAME
SPY -- Up, Medium-Term

Sentiment Risk On / Risk Off Overview

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Indicators at Extremes

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% Showing Pessimism: 4%
Bullish for Stocks
Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs)
CSFB Fear Barometer
% Showing Optimism: 49%
Bearish for Stocks
Smart Money / Dumb Money Confidence Spread
ISE Equity Call/Put Ratio
NYSE High/Low Ratio
Short-term Optimism Index (Optix)
Retail Money Market Ratio
Rydex Bearish Flow
Rydex Ratio
Rydex Money Market %
Smart Money Confidence
ISE Call/Put Ratio
% Showing Excess Pessimism
% Showing Excess Optimism
Intermediate Term Optimism Index (Optix)
Dumb Money Confidence
SKEW Index
OEX Put/Call Ratio
Options Speculation Index
LOBO Put/Call Ratio
Insider Buy/Sell Seasonally Adj
Equity Hedging Index
Risk Appetite Index
NAAIM Exposure Index
AIM (Advisor and Investor Model)
AAII Allocation - Stocks
Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio
Mutual Fund Cash Level
NYSE Available Cash

Phase Table

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Ranks

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Sentiment Around The World

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Optimism Index Thumbnails

Sector ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Country ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Bond ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Currency ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
Commodity ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
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Risk Disclosure: The information and tools provided are for research and analytical purposes only and are not intended as investment advice. Market analysis involves uncertainty, and outcomes may differ from expectations. Users should conduct their own due diligence and consider their individual circumstances before making any financial decisions. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

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