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Daily Report : TradingEdge Weekly for Jun 6 - Risk on, healthy environment, bond timing

Jason Goepfert
2025-06-06
This week, we saw that consumers are quickly becoming more confident, including toward the stock market. That, and easing financial conditions, are contributing to a healthier market environment and "risk on" behavior. More stocks are triggering trend score buy signals. Using a credit default index to time the bond market.
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TradingEdge Weekly for Jun 6 - Risk on, healthy environment, bond timing: This week, we saw that consumers are quickly becoming more confident, including toward the stock market. That, and easing financial conditions, are contributing to a healthier market environment and "risk on" behavior. More stocks are triggering trend score buy signals. Using a credit default index to time the bond market.

Smart / Dumb Money Confidence

Smart Money Confidence: 42% Dumb Money Confidence: 69%

Risk Levels

Stocks Short-Term

Stocks Medium-Term

Bonds

Crude Oil

Gold

Agriculture

Research

TradingEdge Weekly for Jun 6 - Risk on, healthy environment, bond timing

By Jason Goepfert

BOTTOM LINE
This week, we saw that consumers are quickly becoming more confident, including toward the stock market. That, and easing financial conditions, are contributing to a healthier market environment and "risk on" behavior. More stocks are triggering trend score buy signals. Using a credit default index to time the bond market.

FORECAST / TIMEFRAME
None

Sentiment Risk On / Risk Off Overview

Click here to view the Sentiment Risk On / Risk Off Overview on the site.

Indicators at Extremes

Click here to view on the site (% Extremes and "Excess" tabs on the dashboard).
% Showing Pessimism: 9%
Bullish for Stocks
Inverse ETF Volume
S&P 500 Down Pressure
OEX Put/Call Ratio
Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs)
CSFB Fear Barometer
% Showing Optimism: 26%
Bearish for Stocks
NYSE High/Low Ratio
Smart Money / Dumb Money Confidence Spread
Rydex Bearish Flow
Rydex Ratio
Rydex Money Market %
SKEW Index
Intermediate Term Optimism Index (Optix)
ISE Call/Put Ratio
Dumb Money Confidence
NAAIM Exposure Index
Retail Money Market Ratio
Options Speculation Index
Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio
NYSE Available Cash
Mutual Fund Cash Level

Phase Table

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Ranks

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Sentiment Around The World

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Optimism Index Thumbnails

Sector ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Country ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Bond ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Currency ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
Commodity ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
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Risk Disclosure: The information and tools provided are for research and analytical purposes only and are not intended as investment advice. Market analysis involves uncertainty, and outcomes may differ from expectations. Users should conduct their own due diligence and consider their individual circumstances before making any financial decisions. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

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