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< BACK TO ALL REPORTS

Daily Report : Confidence comes back

Jason Goepfert
2025-06-02
The latest Consumer Confidence survey showed a big jump from last month. Consumers are also now expecting stocks to rise after two months of pessimism. Both are good signs for stocks, as the S&P 500 is more likely to see positive returns when Confidence is rising.
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Headlines

Confidence comes back: The latest Consumer Confidence survey showed a big jump from last month. Consumers are also now expecting stocks to rise after two months of pessimism. Both are good signs for stocks, as the S&P 500 is more likely to see positive returns when Confidence is rising.

Smart / Dumb Money Confidence

Smart Money Confidence: 46% Dumb Money Confidence: 67%

Risk Levels

Stocks Short-Term

Stocks Medium-Term

Bonds

Crude Oil

Gold

Agriculture

Research

Confidence comes back

By Jason Goepfert

BOTTOM LINE
The latest Consumer Confidence survey showed a big jump from last month. Consumers are also now expecting stocks to rise after two months of pessimism. Both are good signs for stocks, as the S&P 500 is more likely to see positive returns when Confidence is rising.

FORECAST / TIMEFRAME
None

Sentiment Risk On / Risk Off Overview

Click here to view the Sentiment Risk On / Risk Off Overview on the site.

Indicators at Extremes

Click here to view on the site (% Extremes and "Excess" tabs on the dashboard).
% Showing Pessimism: 4%
Bullish for Stocks
Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs)
CSFB Fear Barometer
% Showing Optimism: 23%
Bearish for Stocks
Rydex Bearish Flow
Rydex Ratio
Rydex Money Market %
% Showing Excess Pessimism
Intermediate Term Optimism Index (Optix)
Dumb Money Confidence
SKEW Index
Options Speculation Index
NAAIM Exposure Index
Retail Money Market Ratio
Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio
Mutual Fund Cash Level
NYSE Available Cash

Phase Table

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Ranks

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Sentiment Around The World

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Optimism Index Thumbnails

Sector ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Country ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Bond ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Currency ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
Commodity ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
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